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Want $1 Million? Drop that extra car

Most people think of their cars as working for them. They imagine convenience, freedom, maybe even status.

But for many American households, especially those with an unnecessary extra car, that second or third vehicle quietly burns through enough money to take away real long‑term wealth.

If you want a surprisingly powerful path toward $1 million, start by exploring whether you really need every car in your driveway.

The hidden cost of owning a car

Owning a car or more per adult is normal. Monthly payments are normal. Gas, insurance, repairs, registration, parking, and random fees are normal.

But “normal” is expensive.

According to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the average American household spends around $12,000 per year on transportation, and the largest portion of that is personal vehicles, including the cost of the car itself, insurance, fuel, maintenance, and repairs (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2024). That’s about $1,000 a month, per household, tied up in keeping cars on the road.

In many two‑ or three‑car households, one of those vehicles is barely essential. It’s a convenience. A backup. A “just in case.” That “just in case” can be the difference between coasting financially and becoming a millionaire over time.

What if you invested your car money instead?

Let’s say you find a way to live with one fewer car. You sell it, cancel the insurance, stop paying to fuel and maintain it, and you redirect that $1,000 a month into an investment account instead.

Now invest that $1,000 per month consistently for 25 years and earn an average annual return of 8 percent (compounded monthly for simplicity):. What you get:

$946,000

So getting rid of an unnecessary extra car and investing the savings could put you within striking distance of one million dollars over 25 years.

Not by being a brilliant entrepreneur, taking big risks, or by winning the lottery. Just by not owning a vehicle you don’t truly need and investing what you would have spent on it.

But do I really “spend” that much on my car?

Many people underestimate what a car costs because they only think about the monthly payment.

Here’s what usually gets missed:

  • The payment (if you have a loan or lease)
  • Insurance premiums
  • Gas
  • Routine maintenance (oil changes, tires, brakes, etc.)
  • Unexpected repairs
  • Registration and taxes
  • Parking, tolls, tickets

The American Automobile Association (AAA) regularly estimates that the annual cost to own and operate a new vehicle is in the five‑figure range when you add all of those pieces together (American Automobile Association, 2023). If you’re driving something newer or higher‑end, or you live in a high‑cost city, your real number may be even higher.

If your “extra” car is financed, the financial drag is even worse: you’re paying interest on a depreciating asset that’s losing value every year.

The lifestyle tradeoffs that make this possible

Dropping from two cars to one (or from three to two) isn’t always painless. It usually requires some mix of adjusting commuting patterns, occasionally using rideshare or car‑share, carpooling with coworkers, friends, or family, and/or planning errands and appointments more rigorously.

It may involve getting a bike, ebike, and/or using the bus more. And it all might be easier or harder depending on where you live.

But notice something important: even if you sometimes use taxis, rideshare, or short‑term rentals, that doesn’t come close to the full cost of owning, insuring, and maintaining an extra vehicle for the entire year. The all‑in ownership cost is what quietly kills your wealth.

Some families find that rethinking where they live is part of the equation: moving a bit closer to work, transit, or schools can lower or eliminate the need for that extra car, and also reduce stress and commute time.

This isn’t just about deprivation. It’s about thinking more strategically about transportation for a lot more long‑term freedom.

Why 25 years matters more than you think

Twenty‑five years sounds like forever, but it isn’t. It’s the difference between being 30 and 55, or 40 and 65. Those years are going to pass no matter what. The question is whether each of those months brings you a step closer to financial independence, or just another oil change and insurance bill.

The power is compound growth. When your $1,000 goes into an investment account earning around 8 percent per year on average, your contributions start earning returns, then those returns start earning returns. Over time, your growth accelerates, especially in the later years.

That’s why the decision to drop an unnecessary car early in your financial life can be so powerful. The longer your money has to grow, the more dramatic the result.

Your mileage may vary

This millionaire math uses round numbers to make the point clear. Real life is messier.

The example assumes you save and invest $1,000 per month for 25 years at an 8 percent annual return and end up with around $946,000. With a few more years of investing, you would likely cross the $1 million mark.

You can also adjust the levers: maybe you can only free up $500 per month, or maybe you can redirect $1,500. Maybe your average return is 6 percent instead of 8, or you hit a long stretch of strong markets and do better. None of these inputs are guaranteed; they are tools to help you visualize what’s possible.

You might look at $12,000 per year and think, “I don’t spend that much on my car.” That could be true. But it could also be an underestimate. Many people only think about the payment and gas, and forget insurance, registration, maintenance, and repairs. On the other hand, you might be spending much more. In recent years, many buyers have taken on large loans at high interest rates, often on vehicles that depreciate faster than the loan balance is paid down. That leaves them “underwater,” owing more than the car is worth, and feeling stuck. In those cases, the true annual cost can be well above that $12,000 benchmark.

You might also be in a situation where you can’t offload a car easily. Maybe you need it for work. Maybe the resale value is too low compared with what you owe. Maybe your family’s logistics feel impossible with fewer vehicles. That is all real. But there is usually still room to move somewhere on the spectrum. You might not be able to sell a car today, but you might be able to:

  • Decide that your next car will be one you can afford in cash, not with a high‑interest loan
  • Refinance an expensive loan if possible
  • Drive less, combine trips, or carpool to reduce fuel and wear‑and‑tear
  • Use transit or biking for some trips and delay buying an additional vehicle
  • Set a firm cap on how much of your income will go to transportation

The point is not that every person should immediately dump a car and invest $1,000 a month. It is that cars are one of the biggest and most unexamined expenses in modern life, and we often underestimate how much they cost and how much wealth they displace.

So treat this article as a guide and a thought experiment, not a strict prescription. It is meant to highlight just how much money flows into vehicles, how strongly we are nudged to spend on them, and how powerful it can be if you create even partial alternatives. Whether that means going from three cars to two, stretching the life of a paid‑off car, avoiding a luxury upgrade, or planning to buy your next car in cash, small shifts away from automatic car spending can be surprisingly profitable over the long run.

How to know if an extra car is really “unnecessary”

Ask yourself:

Could we realistically coordinate schedules with one fewer car most days?

Are we keeping a vehicle mostly for rare situations (worst‑case scenarios vs daily needs)?

How many days per month does this car actually get used?

Would occasional rentals, rideshare, or car‑share be cheaper than owning this vehicle year‑round?

Can we move—or think differently about a future move already planned?

If a car is driven infrequently, mostly for convenience, or simply because “we’ve always had two cars,” that’s a signal. It may be less a tool and more a habit.

The mental shift: from car pride to good-decisions pride

Cars are visible status symbols. Investments are invisible. That makes it easy to prioritize the wrong thing.

When you reduce the number of cars you own, it might not show on Instagram. But it shows up quietly in your balance sheet.

Over years and decades, it can be the difference between consistently feeling stretched and building a substantial investment portfolio that supports you and your family

Think of every nonessential car payment as a missed investment deposit. When you flip that around, you’re not “giving up” a car. You’re buying long‑term freedom.

Twenty‑five years from now, you might look back at your old driveway and realize that the best “vehicle” you ever owned was not a car at all, but your investment account.

References

American Automobile Association (2023) tor. Your Driving Costs: How Much Are You Really Paying to Drive? https://www.aaa.com/autorepair/articles/your-driving-costs

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (2024) tor. Consumer Expenditures in 2023. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cesan.nr0.htm

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Wrap-up of COP30 in Belém: Developments and what’s next

The COP30 climate talks in Belém, Brazil closed with a familiar mixed message: the headline cover decision reaffirmed the 1.5°C limit and called for “transitions” in energy and economies, but stopped short of a clear, time‑bound fossil‑fuel phaseout and left finance and carbon‑market rules largely unresolved.

That gap between ambition and delivery is where the action now moves—to 2035 nationally-determined commitments (NDCs), to sector transitions guided by the IPCC, to health and wellbeing co‑benefits, and to cities, states, and service innovators who can make climate progress tangible.

Alignment with the IPCC’s “major transitions”

IPCC AR6 lays out the big shifts needed this decade. Power must decarbonize and end use must electrify. Industry needs efficiency and fuel switching. Transport and buildings require strong demand side changes. Land food and nature based solutions must expand. Finance and governance reforms must enable these changes in ways that are feasible and just.

On energy and fossil fuels, the cover decision invoked transitions and allowed for abatement and CCS, but it did not codify a universal fossil fuel phaseout. It reiterated scaling clean energy and efficiency consistent with IPCC least cost pathways, yet without stronger time bound collective targets. The net effect is a political signal to keep shifting capital while continued ambiguity risks a slower drawdown of coal oil and gas.

On 2035 NDCs, parties were urged to submit new economy wide targets aligned with 1.5°C. This matters because it sets a near term deadline for whole economy planning and, if done well, can drive integrated transitions across power transport buildings and industry rather than a set of siloed pledges.

On adaptation and resilience, negotiators advanced work on operationalizing the Global Goal on Adaptation with more clarity on indicators and reporting and less on quantified global targets. This helps countries design risk informed and locally appropriate transitions that remain robust under uncertainty.

On finance and feasibility, delivery pathways for climate finance still lag needs. Without clearer concessional flows and debt relief the feasibility dimension that combines institutions finance and capacity remains a bottleneck for many economies.

On process innovation, the Brazil Presidency draft Mutirão text was described in mid-COP briefings as a menu-based push on implementation. This signals a pivot from one-size-fits-all to practical options that countries can pick up. If carried into the 2035 NDC cycle, it could accelerate uptake of proven transition packages.

The bottom line on transitions is that COP30 nudged system wide planning with 2035 NDCs and adaptation metrics, but it left the core mitigation signal weaker than the IPCC call for rapid deep and sustained reductions. Delivery now hinges on national policy packages and real economy coalitions that move power transport buildings industry and land together.

Role of affordability, health, and other wellbeing

A notable advance at COP30 was the prominence of health and quality of life framing. The WHO Special Report Delivering the Belém Health Action Plan lays out a practical agenda to integrate health into climate action through climate resilient and low carbon health systems, cleaner air, heat health protection, and finance models that value health benefits.

In practice, more parties and partners signaled plans to embed health metrics in climate policy. They plan to track avoided deaths from cleaner air, reduced heat risk, and the resilience of clinics. This reframes climate policy as a public health dividend and not only an emissions ledger.

Demand-side measures for affordability and comfort gained attention. Efficient all-electric homes, passive and district cooling, and clean cooking can reduce bills, improve indoor air, and deliver thermal comfort, especially for low-income households.

Time saved and access also featured. Mobility investments that emphasize high frequency transit, safe walking and cycling, and integrated ticketing reduce commute times and improve access to jobs and services. These multiple benefits are often undervalued in cost benefit analysis.

This matters because policies that foreground lower energy poverty, better air, safer heat seasons, and shorter commutes tend to be more durable politically and faster to scale.

The Belém Health Action Plan offers a template that ministries can adopt now, with indicators that resonate beyond climate circles.

Subnational developments

The Presidency spotlighted cities, regions, tribal, and Indigenous governments as delivery agents. An official evening summary on November 11 emphasized how local and subnational leadership is driving real world climate progress in peoples homes.

Cities and states showcased local implementation plans that braid climate health and affordability goals. Examples include building performance standards, all electric codes for new buildings, rental retrofit programs, and cooling action plans.

They advanced fleet and infrastructure pivots such as zero emission buses, municipal fleets, freight corridors, and EV ready streetscapes, paired with reliability upgrades to distribution grids.

Nature and resilience programs featured urban tree canopies, blue green stormwater systems, fire smart land use, and nature based coastal buffers as no regrets moves that also improve daily life.

Finance innovation is helping smaller jurisdictions attract private capital while protecting low income households by packaging projects into standardized programs such as pay as you save retrofits, green mortgages, and resilience bonds.

This matters because subnational governments control many levers that shape user experience including permits codes service standards transit frequency and cooling centers. Their plans can translate COP speak into renovations routes and shade on the ground.

Focus on services to unite policy with user experience and value

One evolution at COP30 is the treatment of climate solutions as services and not only technologies. The focus is on meeting needs such as mobility, thermal comfort, cooling, clean cooking, and reliable power through integrated offers that align incentives from the start.

A services lens accelerates climate action in several ways. Clear value propositions help because people buy outcomes rather than kilowatt hours, for example mobility as a service that delivers fast reliable and safe trips, comfort as a service that delivers quiet healthy and stable indoor temperatures, and cooling as a service that guarantees performance without upfront cost.

Policy fit improves when service performance standards such as comfort hours trip times and air quality targets sit alongside emissions standards.

Public procurement can buy services for example contracted comfort for schools and hospitals instead of equipment, which enables aggregators to finance upgrades at scale.

Ownership of the user experience reduces friction when one accountable entity handles design delivery maintenance and billing, with bundles that include financing warranties and simple apps that make clean choices the easy default.

Equity by design becomes practical because services can embed affordability through lifeline tiers on bill tariffs and targeted subsidies that guarantee comfort and access for renters and low income households who are often locked out of capital intensive technology.

Data and verification also improve because service contracts create measurable outcomes such as comfort hours avoided outages and on time trips which can anchor results based finance and where appropriate high integrity carbon and health crediting.

Near‑term service plays to watch:

  • Thermal comfort services for social housing and schools, combining envelope, heat pumps, and ventilation with pay‑as‑you‑save tariffs.
  • Cooling‑as‑a‑service in hot cities, linked to heat‑health plans and time‑of‑use pricing.
  • Clean‑cooking service subscriptions that bundle stoves, fuel access, and maintenance.
  • Mobility subscriptions that integrate transit, bike/scooter share, and first/last‑mile shuttles.
  • Reliability‑as‑a‑service for critical facilities, pairing rooftop solar, storage, and microgrids under performance contracts.

Wrap-up

So, did COP30 move the needle? The signal is moderate because the cover text uses transitions language that keeps 1.5°C on the agenda but it avoided a clear fossil phaseout.

The structure is useful since 2035 NDC guidance, adaptation metrics work, and the Brazil Presidency’s menu style implementation push give countries and cities a clearer runway to act.

The substance is still to be delivered, and the most credible progress now lies in national policy packages, subnational implementation, and service based business models that foreground health, affordability, comfort, and time.

Looking ahead, watch for the first wave of 2035 NDCs and whether they are economy-wide, IPCC-aligned, and grounded in just locally led transitions.

Track how quickly countries operationalize the Belém Health Action Plan in budgets, clinics, heat health systems, and clean air rules.

See whether cities and states move building retrofits, cooling programs, and transit upgrades from pilots to standardized and financeable portfolios.

Monitor whether ministries, school districts, and utilities begin procuring outcomes such as comfort, reliability, and trips at scale.

References

UNFCCC (22 Nov 2025). Outcomes Report of the Global Climate Action Agenda at COP 30. UNFCCC. https://unfccc.int/documents/655037

COP30 Presidency (15 Nov 2025). COP30 Evening Summary – November 15. COP30 Presidency. https://cop30.br/en/news-about-cop30/cop30-evening-summary-november-15

European Parliament (17 Nov 2025). COP30 outcome: slow progress, but insufficient to meet the climate crisis urgency. European Parliament. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/fr/press-room/20251117IPR31438/cop30-outcome-slow-progress-but-insufficient-to-meet-climate-crisis-urgency

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The “cost of place:” Why housing and transportation are the same household bill

People tend to separate housing from transportation when they budget. From a savings standpoint, they are one decision about where you live and how you get around.

The cost of place is the combined monthly cost to keep a roof over your head and to reach work, school, groceries, friends, and care. Tools like the H+T Index were created to make that combined cost visible.

A lower rent or mortgage on the edge of town can raise the cost of place. Longer trips mean more fuel, more maintenance, higher insurance, more parking, and often one more car. A higher rent in a location efficient neighborhood can lower the cost of place if it lets you own fewer cars and make shorter trips.

A simple example is one household that pays $2,200 for rent and $150 for transit or occasional rides, compared with another that pays &1,700 for housing but $900 to $1,200 for two cars. The second household looks cheaper on paper until you add transportation.

What it means for households

Shop for the combined monthly number, not just the rent or mortgage. List expected car ownership and use, parking, insurance, fuel, maintenance, and any transit or rideshare spending.

Compare neighborhoods on that total. Test scenarios that trade one car for a monthly transit pass, carshare, or e bike.

Consider the value of time. Shorter trips and fewer car errands can free hours each week and lower stress.

When viewing homes, look for daily needs within a short walk or a single transit ride and ask about unbundled parking so you do not pay for spaces you do not use.

What it means for cities and policymakers

Cities can drive up the cost of place when land use rules push homes far from jobs and daily needs and when streets and parking policy make car travel the only viable option.

Minimum lot sizes, bans on apartments and missing middle housing, strict height caps, setbacks that force low density, and lengthy approval processes suppress homes in town where transportation costs are lower.

Parking minimums raise building costs and spread destinations apart.

Single-use zoning separates homes from shops and schools which lengthens trips and locks in car dependency.

Inadequate transit that fails to provide a realistically useful way to get around.

Street designs that prioritize fast through traffic over safe walking, biking, and transit add to those costs.

To lower the cost of place, allow more homes near jobs, schools, parks, and frequent transit.

Legalize duplexes, triplexes, courtyard apartments, and accessory dwelling units. M

Upzone near transit and main streets and permit mixed use buildings so errands are close. Replace parking minimums with context sensitive maximums, unbundle parking from rent, and price curb parking so spaces turn over.

Invest in reliable buses and trains, dedicated bus lanes, safe bike networks, and safer crossings so fewer households need multiple cars. Encourage transit oriented development on public and private land. Speed approvals for projects that add homes in location efficient areas.

Align school and public facility siting with walkable and transit served locations.

Use inclusionary tools and land value capture carefully so they add homes where access is best without stalling production.

Consider demand management like employer transit benefits and cash out for parking.

These actions reduce both the need to drive and the number of vehicles per household which lowers monthly costs.

Bottom line

The cheapest address is not always the most affordable once you add the cost to get around. Treat housing and transportation as one decision and aim for a lower cost of place.

References

Center for Neighborhood Technology (n.d.). H+T Affordability Index. Center for Neighborhood Technology. https://htaindex.cnt.org/
U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and U.S. Department of Transportation (n.d.). Location Affordability Index. HUD and DOT. https://www.locationaffordability.info/
AAA (2024). Your Driving Costs. AAA. https://newsroom.aaa.com/auto/your-driving-costs/
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (2024). Consumer Expenditures. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://www.bls.gov/cex/
Ewing, R., and Cervero, R. (2010). Travel and the Built Environment. Journal of the American Planning Association. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944361003766766
Litman, T. (2024). Transportation Affordability. Victoria Transport Policy Institute. https://www.vtpi.org/affordability.pdf
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (2013). Location Efficiency and Housing Choice. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. https://www.epa.gov/smartgrowth/location-efficiency-and-housing-choice
Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies (2024). The State of the Nation’s Housing 2024. Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies. https://www.jchs.harvard.edu/research-areas/reports/state-nations-housing-2024

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How to think about e-bikes and safety

E-bikes present new safety concerns. They are faster and therefore crashes are more prone to being serious compared with a conventional bike. And they are creating higher volumes of people traveling at a wider range of speeds on multiuse paths (MUPs).

They also let more people take short trips without a car. That reduces exposure to high-speed traffic and lowers crash energy on our streets. And they expand access for older adults, teens, and people facing long distances or hills.

So, e-bike safety is about e-bikes, but it’s also about how e-bikes can contribute to a safe and healthy transportation system overall. In sum, it’s about how we manage the mix of speeds and the quality of the places where we ride and walk.

Key issues to watch

Speed and mass. E-bikes are heavier and can be faster than acoustic bikes. Higher speeds raise stopping distance and crash severity. Managing speed where people mix is essential.

Street mixing with fast traffic. Many crashes involve overtaking by cars on streets without protection. Network gaps push riders to choose between stressful traffic or crowded paths.

Shared-path conflicts. Multiuse paths now host walkers, joggers, kids on scooters, and e-bikes at different speeds. Passing and speed differentials create risk, especially at blind corners and path intersections.

Youth riders. Teens are using e-bikes for school and jobs. Skills, judgment, and device choice vary. Parents and schools need clear guidance and training resources.

Battery and charging safety. Poor quality or damaged lithium-ion batteries can overheat or catch fire. Certified equipment, proper chargers, and safe charging locations reduce risk.

Device classification confusion. Class 1 and 2 e-bikes behave like bicycles in most settings. Higher-powered e-mopeds and DIY builds ride faster and weigh more. Lack of clarity leads to misuse of paths and sidewalks.

Visibility. Night riding without lights, poor lane positioning, and quiet approach can surprise others. Bells, lights, and predictable lines help.

Maintenance and equipment. Worn brakes, underinflated tires, and loose racks or child seats degrade handling. Regular checks matter more at higher speeds and loads.

Behavior and etiquette. Speeding near pedestrians, buzzing passes, wrong-way riding, distraction, and impairment drive a share of serious conflicts.

Where consensus is emerging

Design the street for safety. Lower default urban speeds to 20 to 25 miles per hour and accelerate the development of connected protected bike networks on higher speed or high volume streets.

Manage speed where people mix. Set and communicate clear expectations on multiuse paths. Slow zones near playgrounds and waterfronts, posted limits, and design cues that nudge lower speeds are gaining support.

Prioritize behavior over blanket bans. Target dangerous operation and conflict points rather than banning entire device categories. Focus rules on speed, yielding, and passing.

Clarify classes and align access. Treat Class 1 and 2 like bicycles in most places. Keep Class 3 to streets and protected lanes, not crowded trails. Require registration and equipment for e-mopeds where applicable.

Raise the bar on battery safety. Require or prefer UL certified systems for bikes, batteries, and chargers. Promote safe charging rooms, outdoor charging at hubs, and trade-ins for unsafe batteries.

Educate riders and families. Scalable training through schools, retailers, and community groups is effective. On-bike skills, route choice, and maintenance basics reduce risk fast.

Support delivery riders. Provide charging, secure parking, restrooms, and safe curb access. Partner with platforms and battery providers to phase in certified swappable batteries.

Use data to manage the mode. Track e-bike exposure, not only crashes. Distinguish device types in reports, capture near misses, and evaluate per-mile risk. Use this to target investments.

An agenda for communities

#1. Set safe speeds on local streets. Adopt 20 to 25 mile per hour defaults and use traffic calming so e-bikes and acoustic bikes can mix comfortably with cars.

#2. Build a connected protected network. Deliver continuous protected lanes on arterials and through tricky junctions. Fill the worst gaps first and connect homes to schools, jobs, and transit.

#3. Enhance traffic control at conflict points. Focus on intersections and places of low visibility with paint or other features, speed limit signs, mirrors where appropriate, and designs that slow users before conflict zones. Establish clear rules for paths and parks, with simple speed guidance, require yielding to pedestrians, and mark centerlines, slow zones, and blind corners. Back it with education before citations.

#4. Clarify device classes and access. Align local codes with Class 1, 2, and 3. Keep Class 3 off crowded trails. Define e-mopeds and require required equipment and registration where state law applies.

#5. Focus enforcement on the top risks. Target speeding, wrong-way riding, sidewalk riding in busy districts, and failure to yield at crosswalks. Use warnings and diversion to education before fines.

#6. Work with parents and school districts to help families make informed choices about purchasing and travel behavior. Help to differentiate between pedal-assist e-bikes and more powerful full electric motorcycles, often called e-motos. Provide onboarding experiences and guidance that support legal and safe operation that does not harm others.

#7. Launch rider education at scale. Partner with schools, libraries, and retailers for short hands-on classes. Include braking drills, lane positioning, night riding, and cargo or child-carrying tips.

#8. Make e-bike growth and success a goal of transportation planning. Explicitly measure and manage towards growth of the mode. Track access, safety outcomes, trip replacement of car miles, equity of who benefits, and total cost of travel, then manage toward targets.

#9. Measure and publish progress. Add device type fields to crash forms. Deploy counters that distinguish bikes and scooters. Report injuries per million trips and per million miles. Track car trip replacement and equity of access.

E-bike safety is about the promise that e-bikes can make us safer and healthier, especially by giving reedom to people experiencing financial stress and to those who are trapped without an alternative to driving.

E-bikes also offer a serious potential to replace cars and step down the high levels of kinetic energy and problematic driving, including distracted driving, that make our streets dangerous in the first place.

And so the ebike-safety opportunity is an integrated agenda that addresses issues specific to the technology while harnessing it to life all boats.

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How to make streets safe and turn Vision Zero into a reality

Today is the World Day of Remembrance for Road Traffic Victims, the third Sunday in November. It is a day to honor those lost and those living with life-changing injuries.

It is also a day to be clear about what it takes to stop preventable tragedies from taking place.

The losses are immense, with more than 40,000 people killed each year in the US, and an order of magnitude of people experiencing reported life-changing traffic injuries.

These experience are also uneven, varying from country to country and even from one city to the next.

First truth: Steady human transportation patterns are not accidents.

Severe crashes can feel random, but they are not. Their patterns come from choices we have made about how we design, manage, and enforce our transportation system.

Whatever state, county, or town you live in, you can bet on two things. First, there is a somewhat consistent level and trend in traffic fatalities from year to year. And two, there’s at least an order-of-magnitude jump in cases of life-changing injuries. You can take what happened this year and the fee before it, and pretty well predict what’s going to happen next year.

That yearly statistic is no accident. It’s a designed tolerance, and it is avoidable.

One proof is the big differences between places similar places a short distance apart. For example, Boulder, Colorado has about 3 fatal crashes per 100,000 residents while Thornton and Lakewood both exceed 12.

Whatever the local rate, until deaths and serious injuries are zero, the dominant cause is a system that allows the danger to persist.

Second truth: The dangers and solutions are known.

It is not a mystery what’s going on. Indeed, serious crashes are easy to research, and we know from study after study that they result from specific conditions. Some of those conditions:

  • Kinetic energy. Speed and mass drive harm. When speeds fall, survival rises. When vehicles are smaller and streets self-enforce safe speeds, mistakes are less deadly. That means lower default limits that are backed by design, protected space for people walking and biking, safer crossings, better lighting, and safer fleets and vehicle fronts in cities.
  • Consequences. People will make mistakes. Streets should forgive human error. Tighter corners, protected intersections, daylighted corners, roundabouts where they fit, and clear, visible crosswalks reduce the chance that a mistake becomes a fatal event.
  • Compulsion. Many people have no real choice but to drive for every trip, even short ones, regardless of age, ability, or mental awareness. That raises exposure and stress, especially at odd hours when alternatives are fewer and conditions are even less forgiving. Frequent and reliable transit, safe routes to school and senior destinations, protected micromobility networks, zoning that lets homes sit near daily needs, and smarter curb management give people real options.
  • Centrality. Policy, culture, and enforcement tend to center drivers and larger vehicles while shifting costs to everyone else. Safe System policies that put human life first, clear annual safety targets tied to funding and leadership performance, guardrails on vehicle size and weight in cities, equitable automated speed enforcement, and strong public and private fleet standards rebalance the system.

These dynamics are not about guesses. Cities that act to rebuild intersections, upgrade lighting, and mange speeds are bringing real reductions in deaths and serious injuries.

For advocates of safe streets, two questions come next. What commitments will make the most difference going forward? And how do we minimize preventable tragedy between now and full buildout by compressing timelines to delivery?

Third truth: Making big changes depends on being realistic and respectful about concerns, while doing the hard work of selling a better vision.

Safe streets is a good idea. It saves lives and makes daily life calmer, healthier, and more affordable.

It also brings change. Construction disrupts routines. New patterns take time to learn. Different concepts can conflict with long-held beliefs about how streets are supposed to work and what good transportation governance looks like.

However good staff are at the local public agency responsible for transportation, they are probably limited by elected officials. And those officials are typically not technical experts, so they listen to what they hear from community members.

In sum, safe streets is an excellent policy idea, but upstream from policy is politics, and culture is upstream from that.

So, to have more productive conversations with the community—and electeds—now and over time, use these methods:

Share the vision. What does the destination look like? What’s on the table, in vivid, compelling description? Why is life better for more people, including drivers?

Next, think about setting expectations for any kind of a remodel. You want to do it, but it’s still going to cause some uncertainty, disruption, and a pain. And it’s clearly obvious to anyone observing that you have changes planned that are going to affect their lives. So, say so upfront, listen, and build the list together.

From there, talk about what’s happening as an investment. There are pluses and minuses and we can see how they net out. And indeed, the near term is going to involve some costs, and we will do our best to mitigate them. But we are doing it so we can have something better.

You won’t win everyone. But it is a way to build important support—and minimize easy ways future electeds can reverse course—over time.

A call to action

Finally, the hard part: Commit to sharing these concepts with your local elected officials or agencies at least once per quarter in the year ahead. Pick a city, county, school district, MPO, or state DOT and rotate.

Using these themes as a guide, send a short letter or give two minutes of public comment. Alternatively, write an op-ed in your local paper or speak at a local community event.

If you are already doing this quarterly or more, thank you. Now bring a friend.

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Primer on transit-oriented development

Transit-oriented development concentrates daily life within a 5 to 10 minute walk of high-quality buses, trains, and ferries. The goal is to make transit along with walking and biking the easiest choices for most trips and to reduce car dependence without sacrificing access or opportunity.

Transit-oriented development is a practical way to unite transportation and housing objectives into a single mutually reinforcing framework. When cities plan homes, jobs, shops, parks, and schools around reliable transit the result is shorter trips safer streets lower household costs and stronger local economies.

Key characteristics

Great station areas are compact and mixed use. Homes offices retail schools civic buildings and services sit close together so errands and commutes are simple.

Density belongs at stations. The most active uses and the greatest height are closest to transit and then step down into surrounding neighborhoods.

Design favors people on foot and on bikes. Think short blocks safe crossings active ground floors shade and trees lighting and minimal setbacks.

Access is truly multimodal. Protected bike lanes secure bike parking clear wayfinding and well managed pick up and drop off keep people moving comfortably.

Parking is right sized and managed. Cities reduce or remove minimums unbundle parking from leases share district parking and price the curb.

Transit is frequent and reliable all day. Service every few minutes with seamless transfers and comfortable stations makes the system a default choice.

Mix matters. A range of housing types and prices together with community services supports inclusion and long term stability.

Some examples

Arlington Virginia focused growth along the Rosslyn Ballston corridor with closely spaced Metro stations. Mixed use buildings and excellent streets delivered strong ridership and lively main streets.

Hoboken New Jersey used PATH ferries and frequent buses plus parking reform and infill to enable very low car ownership and thriving street life.

Somerville Massachusetts paired the Green Line Extension with upzoning new housing safer streets and active station plazas.

Cambridge Massachusetts used Red Line station areas and strong bike networks to grow mixed use districts while holding car use down.

Evanston Illinois adopted station area overlays near CTA and Metra reduced parking and enabled missing middle housing near Main and Dempster.

Shaker Heights Ohio created the Van Aken District at a light rail terminus with housing retail and public space on a walkable grid.

Normal Illinois built Uptown Station for Amtrak and local buses then added civic anchors streetscape upgrades and infill that supports small businesses.

Hillsboro Oregon built Orenco Station near MAX light rail with fine grained blocks mid rise housing and neighborhood retail.

Beaverton Oregon intensified around MAX with new housing offices and public spaces at Beaverton Central and nearby stations.

Pasadena California planned around Gold Line stations including Del Mar with mixed use buildings reduced parking and walkable streets.

Santa Monica California anchored the Expo Line terminus with a downtown specific plan plus a strong bike network to support car light living.

Tempe Arizona focused housing and jobs along light rail and the streetcar with unbundled parking and good bike and transit integration.

Rockville Maryland built a town center around Metrorail with housing retail and civic uses and a connected street grid.

Redmond Washington upzoned station areas before Link light rail arrived and is adding thousands of homes and jobs with strong bike access.

Fort Collins Colorado created the MAX BRT with station plans mixed use zoning and safe connections between the university and downtown.

Grand Rapids Michigan aligned BRT corridors with infill housing parking reform and better walking and biking connections.

La Mesa California revitalized its village and trolley stations with small lot infill and safer walking and cycling.

Englewood Colorado redeveloped a light rail site as CityCenter with civic facilities housing retail and a walkable block network.

San Leandro California advanced station area plans for Downtown and Bay Fair with upzoning reduced parking and public realm upgrades.

What it takes to make TOD work

Transit must be frequent reliable and comfortable. Give buses priority in traffic ensure short waits and make transfers easy.

Land use policy must allow mixed use and enough homes near stations. Upzone where the transit is and adopt clear form and design standards. Enable missing middle housing by right in walksheds.

Parking and demand management keep driving optional. Lower or eliminate minimums unbundle costs share parking and price the curb.

The public realm must feel great. Calm traffic shorten crossings build protected bike networks and create welcoming station plazas.

Equity must be built in. Use inclusionary housing community land trusts right to return policies rent stabilization where allowed anti eviction measures and small business support.

Governance and finance matter. Coordinate across departments use value capture such as tax increment financing and special districts and pursue joint development and air rights where feasible.

Market readiness and phasing help projects stick. Lead with civic anchors allow flexible ground floors and deliver projects in manageable phases.

Operations count. Keep stations and public spaces clean well lit secure and easy to navigate and program them with regular activity.

Benefits

Mobility improves and emissions fall. People make more trips by foot bike and transit which reduces vehicle miles traveled and traffic injuries.

Housing supply increases where access is best. Families spend less on transportation which improves overall affordability.

Local economies gain. Foot traffic supports small businesses and mixed use districts improve productivity and resilience.

Public finances benefit. Compact neighborhoods use infrastructure efficiently and produce more tax revenue per acre.

Health and social connection rise. Daily physical activity increases streets get safer and access to opportunity expands.

Pitfalls to avoid

Displacement can occur if values rise without protections. Plan for mixed income housing and small business stability from the start.

Transit without supportive land use underperforms. Upzoning without credible transit also disappoints. The two must move together.

Too much parking and fast arterials undermine walkability and transit use. Create people first streets and manage parking supply and price.

Isolated megaprojects with inward facing superblocks and blank podiums deaden the street. Favor a fine grained public network.

Mandated retail on every ground floor can create vacancies. Concentrate active uses where foot traffic supports them and allow other lively frontages elsewhere.

Ignoring buses and bikes harms first and last mile access. Make bus service great and bike access safe.

Putting park and ride lots on prime station land wastes opportunity. Reserve those sites for homes jobs services and public space.

Common misconceptions

You do not need skyscrapers. Mid rise buildings on a connected street grid often deliver excellent outcomes.

Rail is not the only path. Bus rapid transit and frequent bus networks can support strong transit oriented places when speed and reliability are protected.

Building transit does not guarantee development. Zoning the public realm and market conditions all matter.

Transit oriented development does not mean zero parking. It means the right amount shared and priced in a way that supports the street.

Density alone is not TOD. Without walkability mixed uses and frequent service it will not change travel habits.

TOD does not automatically cause gentrification. Outcomes depend on policy design protections and region wide housing supply.

What city councils need to do

Adopt a clear station area vision that prioritizes homes near transit safe streets and economic inclusion.

Change the rules to allow mixed use and mid to high rise buildings within a half mile of stations.

Eliminate or cap parking minimums and require parking to be unbundled from leases. Allow missing middle housing by right in walksheds.

Hardwire equity through inclusionary housing right to return protections and support for community land trusts and small businesses.

Enable by right approvals when projects match the plan and use objective design standards.

Create value capture districts dedicate a share to affordable housing and the public realm and authorize joint development.

Set measurable targets and report progress each year.

What city managers and local government executives need to do

Stand up a cross functional implementation team that includes planning transportation housing public works legal and finance.

Align the capital plan so utility upgrades complete streets station plazas and bike networks arrive when or before private projects do.

Improve transit reliability with bus lanes signal priority and thoughtful curb management and coordinate service and fares with transit agencies.

Negotiate development agreements that deliver mixed income housing public space and district parking solutions and use joint development and air rights where assets allow.

Use public parcels to de risk early phases and favor long term ground leases over fee sales when possible.

Budget for cleaning lighting security and activation of public spaces and enforce parking and curb policies.

Communicate clearly about tradeoffs construction mitigation and benefits throughout delivery.

What staff planners and subject matter experts need to do

Write station area zones with clear standards for form height floor area and frontage. Allow flexible ground floors and a range of housing types.

Set low or zero parking minimums require unbundling and allow shared and off site parking and demand based curb pricing.

Design streets for people with low stress bike networks shorter crossings daylighted corners slower design speeds and shade and stormwater features.

Plan first and last mile access with wayfinding secure bike parking and well managed pickup and drop off. Bake in inclusionary requirements anti displacement strategies and small business support and monitor outcomes by income and race.

Where applicable use programmatic CEQA and NEPA strategies objective standards and pre approved plan sets to accelerate compliant projects.

Track mode share VMT parking use housing delivery affordability retail performance and safety and publish the data.

Partner early with transit agencies schools utilities employers hospitals universities and community organizations.

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Transportation needs a purpose—and that purpose should be about wellbeing

Transportation is full of surprises.

One of them: The whole enterprise is generally managed without a logical overall purpose.

It’s true there are lots of transportation metrics: Vehicle miles traveled (VMT), number of people killed or seriously injured (KSI), modeshare, and travel time, for starters.

But what is the problem transportation is supposed to be solving to begin with?

If you said something like “to get people where they need to go,” you’d have company. That’s a common response.

And the surface, it makes sense.

But consider this:

  • For the vast majority of cases, people don’t travel just to make the trip. They travel for another reason—they seek to reach or connect with something specific.
  • Most people spend a large amount of money and time on their travel because few people have access to options that compete with owning and driving long distances in a car. People with lower incomes pay the highest cost: They spend a higher share of their income on driving, which is often a real strain, and the burden falls most to people who can’t afford or find housing close to their daily destinations.
  • The placement of housing and key destinations like jobs, schools, and grocery stores doesn’t happen by luck. Public agencies govern what is allowed to be located where And they govern the allocation of rights, privileges, and funding among different ways people get around.

And so back in reality, thinking about the purpose of transportation as moving vehicles (principally treating cars) for the sake of moving vehicles is actually circular.

It is therefore not surprising that the transportation system, despite 100+ years of development of the car, is making us steadily poorer, sicker, and more divided, it’s one of the most likely things to kill us, and it is one of the top sources of our climate crisis.

To get our arms around the the metrics we care about, and more important, to make transportation work for us, it would help to give the system a more unified logical purpose—and one that is focused on providing measurable human benefit and doing so efficiently.

There are contenders—like access (or access to opportunity) and a subset of that, 15-minute neighborhoods.

But there is so much to do to refine and integrate those and related concepts into policy.

Cities, counties, states, and other jurisdictions who are in a position to update big-picture plans and policies could find big opportunities in this realm.

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Good parking: What we know now about effective policy and management


Over the past two decades, parking policy has evolved from a supply-maximizing, one-size-fits-all practice to an outcome-driven system that advances climate goals, public health, equity, and local vitality.

What we know now: Managing parking and mobility more deliberately—which includes eliminating minimums and pricing for availability to sharing, unbundling, and dynamic curb management—helps cities use scarce public space more fairly and efficiently, supports safer, healthier streets, and lowers housing and business costs, all while reducingt driving and emissions.

What began as pilots and academic critiques is now mainstream policy and practice across North America and globally.

How the field has evolved

From mandates to management: Cities are replacing minimum parking requirements with performance-based tools, shared supply, and right-sizing.

From traffic to climate, health, and equity: Research links excess parking to higher VMT/GHGs, air pollution, heat, stormwater impacts, injuries, and housing cost burdens; reforms now center equity and public health benefits.

From static supply to dynamic systems: Demand-responsive pricing, occupancy targets (roughly 70–85%), transparent adjustments, and data-informed enforcement are standard in leading programs.

From lots to the curb: The curb is dynamically allocated among loading, transit, micromobility, pick-up/drop-off, and short-stay parking, with pricing and time-slicing to match demand and city goals.

From pilots to policy: Early demonstrations (e.g., SFpark) paved the way for broad local reforms and state-level actions linking parking to climate and housing goals.

Key concepts

Minimums vs. maximums and caps: Minimum requirements induce excess supply; many places now eliminate minimums and, in some contexts, set caps.

Performance pricing: Adjust rates to meet occupancy targets, cutting cruising and emissions while improving availability.

Unbundling and cash-out: Sell/lease parking separately and offer employees the cash value of parking; both reduce car ownership and VMT.

Parking Benefit Districts (PBDs): Reinvest a portion of revenue locally to build support and deliver visible neighborhood improvements.

Shared/district parking: Pool supply across uses and time periods to shrink total stalls and avoid new construction.

Lifecycle impacts: Account for embodied and operational carbon of parking structures in capital decisions.

Equity-centered design: Pair pricing with income-based discounts, accessible payment options, targeted permits, and safer street design.

Curbside management: Digitize inventory, standardize use categories, and price high-demand loading and short stays.

Manage by outcomes: Track occupancy, turnover, compliance, mode share, VMT/GHG, safety, and local economic indicators—not just stall counts.

Implications for policymakers

Align codes with climate and housing: Repeal or reduce minimums, allow shared/district parking, require unbundling, and offer TDM in lieu of on-site stalls.

Enable performance pricing: Authorize dynamic meter/permit rates, curb-use fees, and special zones; require transparent adjustment protocols and reporting.

Put people and transit first: Prioritize safety, accessibility, transit reliability, and freight efficiency in curb allocations.

Center equity: Mandate income-based discounts, accessible payment options, and community oversight; avoid exemptions that undermine outcomes.

Reinvest locally: Establish PBDs to fund sidewalks, lighting, trees, transit passes, and safety improvements.

Modernize enforcement: Update legal authority, due process, and technology to support high compliance and fair treatment.

Measure and publish: Require regular reporting on availability, turnover, compliance, revenue/reinvestment, and climate/health co-benefits.

Implications for parking and mobility design professionals

Start with outcomes: Set clear targets (availability, GHG/VMT, safety, equity) and design pricing, permits, and curb allocations to hit them.

Replace ratios with strategies: Support elimination/reduction of minimums; enable shared/district parking, TDM alternatives, and unbundling.

Price to manage: Implement demand-responsive pricing with simple rate bands, occupancy targets, and routine adjustments.

Pair pricing with equity: Offer low-income discounts, neighborhood caps, mobility credits, and underbanked payment options; reinvest locally via PBDs.

Make the curb work: Segment, time-slice, and price curb uses; protect transit and bike lanes; use clear signage and digital permits.

Quantify carbon and cost: Include embodied/operational carbon and lifecycle costs in alternatives; prioritize retrofit/shared use over new builds.

Build interoperable systems: Choose tech that supports dynamic pricing, compliance, open data (where appropriate), privacy, and integrations (LPR, payments, sensors).

Pilot, evaluate, iterate: Start small, publish results (availability, turnover, cruising, sales tax, emissions), and scale what works.

How policymakers and parking/mobility design professionals can work together

Co-create goals and guardrails: Policymakers set outcomes and equity standards; practitioners translate them into program design and operations.

Pilot-to-policy pipeline: Practitioners run pilots and evaluations; policymakers codify and scale effective practices.

Align reinvestment: Agree on PBD frameworks that return a portion of revenue to affected neighborhoods; communicate early and often.

Operationalize equity: Jointly design discounts, accessible payment options, and targeted permits; audit outcomes and adjust.

Coordinate the curb: Maintain shared, digital curb inventories and standard use categories; plan time-slicing across modes and freight.

Govern continuous improvement: Establish processes for routine price adjustments, allocation changes, and tech upgrades with community representation.

References

PubMed Central (2024). Parking and Public Health. National Library of Medicine, PMC. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11631998/

Institute for Transportation and Development Policy (2022). To Tackle Climate Change, Cities Need to Rethink Parking. ITDP. https://itdp.org/2022/09/20/to-tackle-climate-change-cities-need-to-rethink-parking/

Institute for Transportation and Development Policy (2021). On-Street Parking Management: An International Toolkit. ITDP. https://www.itdp.org/publication/on-street-parking-management-international-toolkit/

American Planning Association (2019). Policy Guide on Parking and Mobility. APA. https://www.planning.org/policy/guides/parkingmobility/

Donald Shoup (ed.) (2018). Parking and the City. Routledge. https://www.routledge.com/Parking-and-the-City/Shoup/p/book/9781138494969

International Transport Forum, OECD (2018). The Shared-Use City: Managing the Curb. ITF-OECD. https://www.itf-oecd.org/shared-use-city-managing-curb

Alan Durning (2018). Parking? Lots! Sightline Institute. https://www.sightline.org/series/parking-lots/

Todd Litman (2016). Parking Management Best Practices (2nd ed.). Routledge. https://www.routledge.com/Parking-Management-Best-Practices/Litman/p/book/9781138202410

Mikhail V. Chester et al. (2015). Parking infrastructure: energy, emissions, and automobile life-cycle environmental externalities. Environmental Research Letters. https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/8/084027

Richard W. Willson (2015). Parking Management for Smart Growth. Island Press. https://islandpress.org/books/parking-management-smart-growth

Paul Barter (2015). Parking Management: A Contribution Towards Sustainable Urban Transport. GIZ SUTP. https://sutp.org/publications/parking-management-a-contribution-towards-sustainable-urban-transport/

San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency (2014). SFpark Pilot Project Evaluation. SFMTA. https://sfpark.org/resources/evaluation/
Michael Manville (2014). Parking Requirements and Housing Affordability. Access Magazine. https://www.accessmagazine.org/fall-2014/parking-requirements-and-housing-affordability/

Michael Manville (2013). Parking Requirements and Housing Development: Regulation and Reform in Los Angeles. Journal of the American Planning Association. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01944363.2013.785346

Richard W. Willson (2013). Parking Reform Made Easy. Island Press. https://islandpress.org/books/parking-reform-made-easy

Donald Shoup (2011). The High Cost of Free Parking. Planners Press/APA. https://shoup.bol.ucla.edu/the-high-cost-of-free-parking/

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (2006). Parking Spaces/Community Places: Finding the Balance through Smart Growth Solutions. US EPA. https://www.epa.gov/smartgrowth/parking-spacescommunity-places-finding-balance-through-smart-growth-solutions

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Key climate solutions for communities

To unlock new climate progress, apply the power of local communities. Communities are key to most of the climate action needed as well as types of action that can make daily life safer, healthier, and more affordable for everyone.

What follows is a list of community‑oriented solutions that:

  • Are key areas of climate action overall;
  • Offer some of the most effective climate opportunities for communities;
  • Fall within local authority and influence, representing unique power by communities; and
  • Advance equity and public wellbeing, which can lead the way to support for doing more.

Estimates reflect typical North American urban conditions and results vary by context.

#1. Make it legal and attractive to put housing near destinations, and amenities near homes: Reform zoning for more homes in job‑ and transit‑rich areas, permit “missing middle” housing and accessory units, reduce minimum parking, enable small mixed‑use corner stores, clinics, and childcare, and streamline approvals for affordability and inclusion. 

Infill homes lower household VMT 20–40% versus sprawl; shifting 10–20% of growth to infill can cut regional on‑road emissions ~2–6% over a decade, while multifamily/attached homes use 10–30% less energy per unit. If 40%+ of new housing is transit‑oriented, metro transport emissions can fall 10–20% by 2040, with shorter trips, lower costs, and inclusionary policies reducing displacement pressures.

#2. Neutralize the threat of being killed or seriously injured by a driver: Design streets to self‑enforce safe speeds, build connected, protected bike networks, daylight intersections, prioritize pedestrians at crossings, and target high‑injury corridors with data‑driven design, paired with fair enforcement and universal access to safe mobility. 

Such programs typically cut VMT 3–10% citywide within 5–10 years (about 2–8% on‑road CO2e, or 1–4% of total community emissions), with sustained mode shift reducing per‑capita transport emissions 20–50% over 10–20 years. Fewer severe crashes, reliable low‑cost mobility during fuel price spikes or outages, and better access to jobs and services especially benefit low‑income residents, youth, seniors, and people with disabilities.

#3. Deliver high‑quality walking, bicycling, and public transit for everyone: Build safe, direct bike routes and frequent, reliable transit with all‑door boarding, bus lanes, and integrated fares, and complete trips with wayfinding, lighting, benches, shade, and safe crossings. Network upgrades and service improvements reduce corridor VMT 5–15% and citywide 3–10%, and over time enable car‑light lifestyles that can halve household transport emissions. Redundant, multimodal networks also keep people moving during storms and outages while cutting mobility costs and improving access to essentials.

#4. Create abundant places to meet, interact, and belong outside of commerce: Invest in parks, plazas, libraries, greenways, and car‑free streets with free programming, designed for comfort—trees, water, seating, restrooms—and cultural expression. 

Nearby amenities reduce short car trips (often 0.5–2% VMT citywide) and shaded, tree‑rich public spaces lower cooling demand for adjacent buildings. Social infrastructure strengthens mutual aid, and shade and cooling reduce heat risk while free programming expands wellbeing without raising household costs.

#5. Restore and steward nature in the city with climate‑resilient landscaping and urban forestry:  Install bioswales, rain gardens, permeable pavements, and green roofs; landscape with native, drought‑tolerant species; expand and equitably distribute tree canopy; and restore wetlands, riparian corridors, dunes, and living shorelines. 

Shade and evapotranspiration cut cooling loads 5–30% for shaded buildings (roughly 0.05–0.3 tCO2e per home per year), while each new street tree sequesters 10–25 kg CO2 annually; 100,000 trees store 1–2.5 ktCO2e per year and avoid more via energy savings. Citywide canopy gains of 10 percentage points can reduce peak electricity demand 2–5%, while bioswales and rain gardens reduce flooding and heat in historically underserved neighborhoods.

#6. Grow local, plant‑rich food for health, climate, and resilience: Support community gardens, urban farms, edible landscaping, school gardens, greenhouses and rooftop farms; expand farmers markets and CSAs with SNAP matching; prioritize culturally appropriate crops and cut food waste. 

Plant‑rich diets reduce 0.5–1.6 tCO2e per person per year, while shorter cold chains for local produce trim 10–50 kg per person annually and compost‑amended soils store additional carbon. These measures increase food security, lower food bills, build community cohesion, and create local jobs and skills.

#7. Turn waste into soil with municipal composting: Provide universal organics collection (including multifamily) and business service, convenient drop‑offs, clear bin standards, and edible food recovery, and apply finished compost in parks, street trees, and urban agriculture. 

Diverting 1 t of food scraps from landfill avoids 0.2–0.6 tCO2e; with 75% diversion, communities avoid 20–80 kg CO2e per person annually, and compost use adds soil carbon and displaces synthetic fertilizer, totaling 40–120 kg per person per year. Programs create local jobs, improve soils that retain water, support urban food, and reduce odors and pests near facilities often sited in low‑income areas.

#8. Create systems for water conservation and efficiency: Offer instant‑rebate upgrades for high‑efficiency fixtures and appliances, smart irrigation, and turf replacement with climate‑appropriate landscaping; deploy smart meters with leak alerts; promote rainwater harvesting and safe graywater reuse; and set fair, affordability‑protected rates. 

Hot‑water efficiency (fixtures plus heat‑pump water heaters) lowers 0.6–1.8 tCO2e per home per year, while outdoor water efficiency and smart irrigation save 50–200 kg per home via the water‑energy nexus; utility‑scale leak detection and efficiency can cut water‑system electricity use 10–30%. The result is lower bills, improved drought resilience, reduced shutoff risk, and cooler neighborhoods where turf gives way to drought‑tolerant landscapes.

#9. Make buildings efficient and electric: Require and finance tight envelopes, passive cooling (shade, ventilation), and all‑electric systems; add rooftop solar and vehicle‑to‑home readiness; and harden for heat, smoke, fires, and floods. 

Typical retrofits and heat pumps save 1–3 tCO2e per home per year, heat‑pump water heaters 0.5–1.5 t, and induction 0.1–0.3 t; retrofitting 2–3% of stock annually cuts building emissions 3–7% in five years, and with grid decarbonization achieves 60–90% cuts by 2040–2050. Efficient envelopes keep homes habitable during outages, indoor air is healthier without combustion, and targeted no‑cost programs reduce energy poverty.

#10. Make electrification available for virtually everything—and beneficial to users: Provide simple, up‑front rebates for heat pumps, induction, electric water heaters, cars, e‑bikes, and chargers; implement equitable rates, managed charging, and community solar; and invest in workforce training and local contractors. 

Accelerated adoption increases cumulative 2030 reductions 10–30% versus slow rollout; each e‑bike that replaces car trips avoids ~0.3–1 tCO2e per year, and each home fuel‑switch avoids 1–3 tCO2e annually. Lower operating costs and cleaner air accrue broadly when access programs ensure renters and low‑income households benefit first.

#11. Build shared, neighborhood‑scale clean energy and resilience: Create resilience centers with solar, batteries, clean‑air rooms, and cooling/warming, link buildings via microgrids, deploy district geothermal/geoexchange networks, organize block commitments to decommission gas laterals and upgrade electrical capacity, and add curbside and hub EV charging. 

District geothermal cuts heating/cooling energy 30–60% and GHGs 40–80% today; microgrids with solar+storage reduce feeder peaks and displace diesel backup (1–3% local electricity emissions), and coordinated gas retirement plus electrification can eliminate 10–20% of total city emissions from building combustion and leakage over two decades. Shared systems keep critical services powered, lower costs for renters and small businesses, and should be prioritized in frontline neighborhoods.

#12. Keep people collectively safe from disasters, shocks, and stressors: Combine nature‑based defenses (trees, wetlands, dunes) with modern standards (cool roofs, updated codes, elevation, floodable parks), add resilient hubs, cooling centers, and clear risk communication, and plan jointly for heat, smoke, floods, and outages. 

These measures safeguard crucial clean energy and other assets that reduce emissions, contribute to a faster adoption of such systems and reduce the likelihood of maladaptations such as increased use of diesel generators, and prevent high‑emission disaster recovery and support reliable operation of clean energy systems. Clean air and cooling access, language‑inclusive alerts, and social infrastructure protect those most exposed.

#13. Tamp down air pollution across its many sources. Tackle tailpipes and smokestacks together with land use, travel‑demand fixes, and clean technology: legalize compact, mixed‑use infill near jobs and transit and pair it with transportation demand management (congestion and curb pricing, employer commute benefits, school travel plans, demand‑based parking, delivery consolidation) to shorten trips, cut VMT and idling, and curb non‑exhaust PM. Accelerate zero‑emission cars, buses, and trucks; electrify buildings; restrict the dirtiest vehicles in dense areas; and expand urban forests and cool corridors. Focus on ports, freight corridors, and overburdened neighborhoods with shore power, yard‑equipment electrification, clean‑truck rules, and fenceline monitoring. Drive down PM2.5 (including diesel black carbon and brake/tire/road dust), PM10, NOx, SO2, VOCs and air toxics (e.g., benzene, formaldehyde, 1,3‑butadiene), carbon monoxide, and methane leaks that fuel ozone—verified with continuous monitoring and transparent public reporting.

Greenhouse‑gas benefits start with light‑duty vehicles: citywide VMT reduction of 3–10% from compact development and TDM typically yields ~2–8% on‑road CO2e cuts in 5–10 years; sustained mode shift to walking, biking, and transit can lower per‑capita transport emissions 20–50% over 10–20 years; and rapid LDV electrification adds 60–90% per‑mile CO2e reductions as grids decarbonize, with each e‑bike that replaces car trips avoiding ~0.3–1 tCO2e per year. Building electrification removes on‑site combustion; each e‑bus avoids ~50–80 tCO2e annually; and medium/heavy‑duty truck electrification cuts 60–95% per‑mile CO2e, while area‑focused clean‑air zones deliver additional, localized multi‑percent transport‑sector cuts. Health gains are largest for residents near ports, warehouses, and arterials, and fewer combustion appliances indoors reduce asthma triggers.

#14. Invest in public infrastructure efficiently and price disproportionate impacts fairly: Use lifecycle cost and carbon accounting, standardized designs, open data, and fair user fees such as weight‑ and distance‑based road charges, curb and congestion pricing, demand‑based parking, and stormwater fees tied to impervious areas, all with protections for low‑income users. 

Congestion and curb pricing reduce VMT 10–20% in priced zones and 2–5% citywide, demand‑based parking trims 2–4%, and stable revenue enables sustained transit and active‑mode expansion that underpins 10–20% transport‑sector cuts over time. Pairing pricing with income‑based discounts and reinvestment delivers fairer outcomes and lowers long‑run costs.

#15. Save money and materials with sharing and lending: Launch tool, toy, sports‑gear, and baby‑gear libraries; repair cafes and fix‑it clinics; clothing swaps and reuse marketplaces; and shared equipment for schools and small businesses, in partnership with public libraries for memberships and reservations. 

Avoided production dominates the climate benefit—sharing a handful of seldom‑used items can avert 50–200 kg CO2e per person per year, with mature programs achieving 0.1–1% community‑wide cuts and broader normalization of reuse delivering 2–5% consumption‑based reductions by 2035. These programs provide low‑cost access to essentials and skills and build social networks that matter in emergencies.

#16. Offer local services and experiences as affordable alternatives to high consumption:  Invest in arts and culture passes, maker spaces, community kitchens, skill‑shares, recreation, local tourism, and nature access, and support small businesses that provide repair, care, wellness, and learning, using vouchers and memberships to ensure inclusion. 

Shifting 5% of household spend from goods to low‑carbon services and experiences reduces ~0.2–0.8 tCO2e per household per year, with scaled programs cutting community consumption‑based emissions 1–3% over time. The result is more wellbeing per dollar, local jobs and skills, and inclusive access to community life.

#17. Organize public decision‑making around measurable collective wellbeing: 

Use participatory budgeting, citizens’ assemblies, language access, evidence‑based pilots and A/B tests, transparent dashboards, and delivery‑focused timelines that give frontline communities real power, not just voice. 

Faster, smarter adoption increases cumulative reductions—programs that double deployment rates can boost 2030 impact 10–30% versus business‑as‑usual rollout—while policies reflecting lived experience deliver fairer, more durable outcomes.

#18. Make large‑scale change possible and practical: Build project pipelines and pattern books, pre‑approve typical designs, procure at scale, train a climate‑ready workforce, and start with quick‑build projects that become permanent as data show benefits.

Standardization and bulk buys lower costs and speed deployment across sectors, compounding reductions, while predictable pipelines create local careers and let small and minority‑owned firms compete and thrive.

Putting it all together

Communities that pursue these strategies in parallel can plausibly cut total emissions 35–60% by 2035 (from a 2020s baseline) while reducing heat and flood risk, improving air quality, lowering household bills, and creating good local jobs. The fastest paths pair demand reduction (land use, mobility, efficiency), rapid electrification, neighborhood‑scale clean energy, water and materials stewardship, and joyful, lower‑consumption ways of living—implemented through equitable programs that prioritize those with the greatest energy and health burdens.

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To electrify transportation faster, look beyond vehicles to urbanism—and electrify that

To electrify transportation, we have to swap gas cars for battery-powered ones.

Just as important is the system they run on: The location of origins and destinations. How the roads and parking work. The relative status among the different modes–including the emerging classes of hyper-efficient micromobility vehicles. What is a normal way to get something a quarter mile a way. To move across town.

Compact development multiplies electrification’s possibilities

In a more compact community, each charger, bus depot, and e-bike corral serves more trips. Such locational efficiency translates to higher utilization which lowers cost per electrified trip and accelerates payback on infrastructure. That increases returns on investment.

Shorter, more frequent trips better enable micromobility and transit. Public and workplace charging reach more users, and fleet duty cycles become more predictable. That means more people and trips served.

Dense, connected neighborhoods support an ecosystem of e-bikes, e-cargo bikes, scooters, neighborhood EVs, electric transit, shared fleets, and zero-emission delivery. That spreads benefits and reduces battery and grid needs.

Clustering buildings, parked vehicles, and loads in closer to one another enables managed charging, vehicle-to-grid (V2G) with school and transit buses, building-vehicle coordination, and neighborhood microgrids—boosting flexibility and resilience. That means more opportunities to create fuller ecosystems of electrification in which different uses support one another.

High-ridership, short-route corridors can more cost-effectively match battery duty cycles, simplify depot design, and enable reliable layover or on-route charging. When land use supports frequent service, electric buses reach lower total cost of ownership faster and deliver bigger air-quality gains. That means better transit electrification economics.

Compact form cuts miles driven, trims parking and road costs, and lowers household transportation expenses. Savings from fewer cars and less asphalt can be reinvested in charging, transit, safe streets, and building upgrades. That means savings for household and municaplities.

Denser electrification makes way for tipping points

Full electrification at scale requires existing neighborhoods and districts to to step away existing from natural gas distribution systems in big leaps. Large chunks of existing shared infrastructure needs to be retired in coordinated investments to avoid leaving a minority of ratepayers with stranded assets and impossibly high costs. The process needs a critical mass of subscribers.

Urbanism methods–compact development combined with community-scale planning–can help make transportation electrification investments play a key supportive role. By pairing infill housing and mixed-use development with transit, depot charging, e-mobility hubs, and building heat pumps, districts concentrate flexible electric load.

The payoff: Fully-electrified towns that make use of electric transportation even more.

“Avoiding” travel and “shifting” modes first increases returns

Research shows the most cost-effective way to deliver maximum electrification services for the fewest energy requirements and environmental harm is in the “avoid–shift–improve” framework (ASI).

ASI prescribes avoiding unnecessary demand for a service in the first place; then shifting remaining demand to inherently lower-impact modes, energy carriers, places, or times; and finally, improving the efficiency and cleanliness of technologies and infrastructure that still serve that demand.

Urbanism is fundamental to the first two aspects. The most direct way to “avoid” is compact, complete neighborhoods that reduce trip lengths and vehicle-miles traveled (VMT). And fundamental to”shifting” is safe, reliable transit and protected bike networks that move trips to efficient modes suited to small batteries.

“Avoiding” and “shifting” before “improving” to electrification saves resources by requiring fewer batteries, chargers, and grid upgrades to meet the same mobility needs. It lowers net cost and raises accessibility, since short trips fit low-cost e-bikes and walking and high-utilization charging cuts per-trip costs. And it frees up cash—city capital once aimed at road widening and parking, plus household savings from ditching a second car, can fund more charging, transit, and building electrification.

Urbanism creates new EV opportunities for equity (and durability)

Urbanism provides a way to focus on electrifying the modes that are key to making sure everyone is served—buses, shared fleets, e-bikes, and neighborhood carshare—and where air pollution burdens and cost pressures are highest.

Such a lense can help to elevate electric buses and bus rapid transit in high-ridership corridors with bus-priority lanes; protected bike networks with e-bike purchase, charging, and maintenance support; on-street and multi-family charging in renter-heavy and lower-income neighborhoods; and community ownership models and fare policies that reduce total mobility costs.

This spreads benefits beyond car owners and builds a wider coalition for outcomes that are more likely to be lasting.

Some implications

As the synergies beween urbanism and electrification come to more light, so to does the opportunities for agencies and experts working on them to address the issues together.

Public utility commissions have a stake in VMT. Per-capita VMT reduction and electrified trip share are relevant planning metrics. Encouragement is sensible for utility programs that support location-efficient electrification with make-readies for multi-family housing, depot charging for transit and delivery fleets, managed charging, and V2G. Coordinate electric upgrades with targeted gas decommissioning as districts densify and electrify.

Electric vehicle advocates have a stake in advocating compact development to cities. They can promote zoning reform near jobs and transit, parking reform, complete streets and protected bike lanes, bus lanes, and curb management that prioritizes transit and zero-emission delivery.

Cities and municipal planning organizatons have a stake in targets for electrified trip share and per-capita VMT, not just EV registrations. They can aopt EV-ready and e-bike-ready building codes that require conduit and panel capacity in multi-family and commercial projects; site charging facilities to maxomise utilization at depots, mobility hubs, main streets, and curbside at multi-family buildings; and support e-cargo logistics and consolidation centers to cut van miles.

Transit agencies which seek to electrify high-frequency routes first have a similar stake in supporting greater density as well as protected lanes and other infrastructure to support a better service experience and more riders. More on the technology side, they can align schedules for layover charging, design depots for future V2G revenue and resilience, and pair bus electrification with bus-priority street design to amplify benefits.

Utilities have a stake in buiding an ecosystem that rewards them for expeditiously electrifying everything while providing maximum public benefits. In the near term they can offer fleet and multi-family tariffs with managed charging and capacity subscription options, fund make-readies in disadvantaged communities and at mobility hubs, and deploy more school-bus and transit-bus V2G where feeders are constrained, and coordinate with building electrification to enable gas main retirement.

States and departments of transportation can tie transportation funding to per-capita VMT reduction and electrified trip growth, streamline permitting for curbside and depot charging and for utility upgrades tied to district electrification, and synchronize clean power timelines with transport electrification to maximize emissions cuts.

Employers and developers can site near frequent transit and bikeways, replace parking minimums with mobility benefits, provide e-bike and transit stipends, install shared and open-access charging and secure e-bike parking, and convert last-mile delivery to e-cargo bikes where feasible.

Bottom line

Use urbanism to right-size the transportation challenge—shorter trips, more choices, closer destinations—and electrify mobility and buildings as you build compact, complete neighborhoods. Do that, and the rest of the system—chargers, fleets, and the grid—becomes cheaper to deploy, simpler to operate, and more equitable in its benefits.

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Urbanism and electrification are key to climate solutions that make life better, and they are friends

Building climate resilience and improving daily life hinge on two powerful, complementary levers: access‑oriented urbanism and clean electrification.

Each delivers lower costs, cleaner air, and greater resilience; together they do more—reducing energy demand, smoothing grid peaks, and keeping essential services running through heat, storms, and outages.

What follows introduces these two pillars, shows how they reinforce one another, and highlights practical, near‑term moves communities, agencies, and firms can take to advance climate action and well‑being at the same time.

Two pillars for climate and well‑being

Urbanism

Urban form sets the floor for energy use and travel. Compact, mixed‑use, transit‑oriented neighborhoods organized around access typically cut per‑capita transport emissions 20–50% and building energy 10–30% versus car‑centric sprawl—while lowering infrastructure and household costs.

Access‑first design puts homes, jobs, schools, groceries, parks, and clinics closer together. Shorter trips unlock walking, biking, and high‑ridership electric transit as the default. They also reduce the electricity needed for mobility even as vehicles electrify.
Safer, cooler streets are health and climate infrastructure: shaded, traffic‑calmed corridors protect walkers and cyclists; protected lanes and safe crossings cut injuries; elevated and flood‑safe segments safeguard transit and emergency access. Trees, cool/permeable surfaces, and greenways can reduce neighborhood heat by about 2–5°F and manage stormwater.

Freight microhubs, e‑cargo bike delivery, and smart curb management reduce double‑parking, congestion, noise, and local air pollution. These strategies improve access while easing energy and space demands.
Gentle density near transit supports affordability, social cohesion, and age‑ and disability‑friendly design. Predictable loads in compact areas make electrification—including district energy and neighborhood‑scale batteries—cheaper and faster.

Electrification

Electrification replaces direct fossil fuel use with power from a grid that is getting cleaner each year. Electricity generation is 25% of US greenhouse gas emissions. Electrification leverages the cleaner grid to cut transportation (28%) and buildings (13% direct; buildings also use 75% of US electricity).

Demand‑side management—efficiency, load flexibility, and smart pricing—shrinks and shifts load so electrification fits the grid. The IPCC estimates demand‑side strategies could cut end‑use emissions 40–70% by 2050. DSM is central to realizing that potential in the US.
In buildings, weatherization and high‑efficiency heat pumps, heat‑pump water heaters, induction cooking, and cool roofs lower bills, reduce heat stress, and cut local pollution. District thermal systems that use heat pumps and waste heat deliver scale benefits in compact areas.

In mobility, EVs, e‑buses, and e‑trucks paired with managed charging soak up midday solar and overnight wind. Vehicle‑to‑building/grid can power shelters, signals, and clinics during outages. Right‑sized, interoperable charging at depots, curbs, and homes makes low‑carbon travel reliable and affordable while reducing refinery and upstream emissions.

Rooftop solar, batteries, and community microgrids keep critical services running during storms, heat waves, and wildfires. Grid hardening and flexible loads improve reliability as extremes intensify.

Cutting waste before adding supply is among the most cost‑effective decarbonization steps because it avoids fuel and grid upgrades. Electrification and efficiency lower utility bills and improve indoor air, with outsized benefits for overburdened communities.

How urbanism and electrification multiply one another

Urbanism enabling electrification

Proximity, smaller homes, and shared walls reduce kWh per capita. Shorter trips cut the electricity required for mobility, lowering costs and grid upgrades.

Concentrated, predictable loads justify district thermal, thermal storage, and neighborhood batteries. Urban greening lowers peak cooling demand citywide.

Parking reform and right‑sized streets free land and budgets for housing, solar canopies, and microgrids. Shift/avoid strategies embedded in urban form reduce the need for new road capacity and lower vehicle manufacturing emissions even as fleets electrify.

Electrification enabling urbanism

All‑electric buildings and vehicles cut street‑level pollution and noise, improving public space and health.

Managed EV and e‑bus charging helps integrate renewables. V2G/V2B fleets and community microgrids keep mobility and essential services running through outages.

Curbside power and interoperable charging support e‑cargo bikes, micromobility, and car share. When paired with smart tariffs, these systems expand access without spiking peaks.

Rich opportunities at the urbanism–electrification seam

Transit‑oriented development plus district energy: Build mid‑rise, mixed‑use neighborhoods around frequent transit and connect buildings to low‑temperature district thermal loops served by heat pumps and waste heat. Result: fewer car trips, lower building loads, and steadier demand that improves grid economics and reliability.

Diversified, electrified mobility beyond car‑only: Create a choice‑rich network—frequent transit, protected bike/scooter lanes, safe crossings, EV car share, integrated fares—with right‑sized depot and curb charging. People can drive less without losing access, cutting energy and emissions and easing grid peaks via managed charging.

Micromobility and low‑speed electric networks: Build continuous, protected lanes and calm streets for e‑bikes, e‑scooters, and neighborhood electric vehicles, with secure, fire‑safe charging or battery‑swap. Hyper‑efficient short trips replace car journeys, trimming demand, emissions, and noise while expanding equitable access.

Comprehensive, high‑quality bike parking where it matters: Provide abundant, secure, 24/7 bike parking and charging at transit stations, schools, workplaces, commercial districts, and housing, with on‑street corrals near destinations. Reliable end‑of‑trip facilities multiply cycling uptake, unlock first/last‑mile access to transit, and relieve curb pressure.

Electrified bus depots with solar, storage, and managed charging: Equip depots with onsite generation, batteries, and smart charging or V2G to power zero‑emission buses and support local feeders. Cleaner, quieter service boosts ridership; flexible capacity integrates renewables and stabilizes the grid.

EV‑ready affordable housing near jobs and transit: Pair deep efficiency, all‑electric heat pumps, rooftop solar, pre‑wired Level 1/2 charging, and secure e‑mobility rooms. Residents get low utility and travel costs and clean air; predictable loads ease grid planning and strengthen resilience.

Complete streets with cool pavements and shade trees: Reallocate space to protected bike lanes, wider sidewalks, and transit priority, and retrofit surfaces with high‑albedo materials and canopy. Safer active travel and cooler microclimates reduce VMT, peak electricity demand, and heat risk.

Mobility hubs powered by microgrids: Co‑locate transit, bike share, e‑scooters, car share, parcel lockers, and charging under solar canopies tied to community microgrids. Riders get seamless low‑carbon trips through outages; cities cut last‑mile emissions and harden critical access.

Smart curb management and freight microhubs: Convert select parking to time‑managed loading zones, e‑cargo bike depots, and lockers with curbside power and digital permits. Faster, cleaner deliveries cut double‑parking, fuel use, and noise while improving safety and air quality.

Heat‑pump retrofits with weatherization and community cooling: Target multifamily buildings for envelope upgrades, efficient heat pumps, cool roofs, and shared resilience rooms with backup power. Lower bills and emissions pair with lifesaving protection during heat waves and outages.

Neighborhood resilience centers with solar and storage: Retrofit libraries, schools, and community centers to provide cooling, clean air, water, device charging, communications, and medical support during outages and heat or smoke events. Tie these hubs to microgrids and V2B/V2G fleets so they serve daily needs and deliver lifesaving services in emergencies.

In short, lead with urbanism and access‑oriented electrification. Together they deliver the bulk of the climate solution set while directly improving reliability, affordability, health, and resilience.

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15-minute neighborhoods: What they are, what they aren’t, and why they help

The 15-minute neighborhood is a simple idea with big upside: design places so most daily needs—groceries, schools, parks, clinics, pharmacies, childcare, and basic services—are reachable by a short walk, roll, bike ride, or quick transit trip from home. It doesn’t ban cars or limit movement; it adds convenient, local options so people can choose the mode that fits the trip, the weather, and their abilities.

Where the idea comes from

Deep roots: Early 20th-century “neighborhood unit” planning (Clarence Perry) and mid‑century main streets already aimed to put daily needs nearby. Jane Jacobs argued for fine-grained, mixed-use streets with “eyes on the street.”

Contemporary framing: Urbanist Carlos Moreno popularized the “15-minute city” in Paris, where the city invested in schools-as-community hubs, local services, and safe streets. Variations exist worldwide: Melbourne’s “20-minute neighborhoods,” Seoul’s “10-minute city,” and Sydney’s “30-minute city.”

Related movements: New Urbanism, transit-oriented development, and complete streets all reinforce the principle of proximity plus safe, reliable mobility choices.

Why it works

Time and convenience: Shorter trips mean less time stuck in traffic and more time for family, rest, or work.

Health and safety: Safer speeds, protected crossings, and continuous sidewalks/bikeways reduce injuries and make everyday activity easier.

Affordability: Fewer or shorter car trips lower household transportation costs. Mixed housing types near services let more people live where life is convenient.

Climate resilience: If a road floods or fuel is scarce, multiple local options keep essentials reachable. Shade, trees, and local amenities reduce heat exposure and long, risky trips during extreme weather.

Local economies: Foot traffic supports small businesses; main streets with steady, local customers tend to be more resilient during shocks.

Inclusion: Universal design—smooth sidewalks, curb ramps, shade, benches, audible signals, and frequent, accessible transit—expands independence for seniors and people with disabilities.

What a 15-minute neighborhood looks like in practice

Mixed-use zoning that allows corner stores, clinics, and childcare near homes.

Gentle infill housing (ADUs, duplexes, small apartments) near transit and jobs.

A connected, protected network for walking, rolling, and biking, plus frequent transit on key corridors.

Safe arterials: right-sized lanes, frequent crossings, median refuges, and protected bike lanes near schools, parks, and shops.

Shade trees, lighting, and weather protection at stops and along routes.

Curbs managed for loading, deliveries, and accessible parking, not just long-term storage.

Common myths—and the facts

Myth: 15-minute neighborhoods are ‘lockdowns’ in disguise.

Fact: The concept is about land use and service access, not restricting movement. There are no gates, passes, or tracking required. People can still drive across town or across the region; they simply don’t have to for every errand.

Myth: They’re a surveillance scheme.

Fact: You don’t need any surveillance to allow a bakery or clinic near housing, add shade and benches, or run buses more often. The tools are zoning changes, safer street design, and better transit—none require monitoring individuals.

Myth: They hurt seniors and people with disabilities.

Fact: Proximity plus universal design makes life easier: shorter distances to essentials; smoother, wider sidewalks; shorter crossings; reliable paratransit and level boarding; more benches and shade. Protected bikeways also reduce sidewalk cycling, making sidewalks calmer for mobility devices.

Myth: Emergency response gets worse.

Fact: Calmer, well-designed arterials with center turn lanes, protected facilities, and signal preemption maintain or improve response times while reducing severe crashes—the incidents that most often delay responders.

Myth: Businesses and deliveries can’t function.

Fact: Cities pair local access with dynamic curb space, timed loading zones, and alley access. Many retail streets see equal or higher sales when streets are made safer and more inviting for nearby customers.

Myth: It only works in dense European cities.

Fact: The principle scales. Suburbs can cluster daily needs around existing centers, add neighborhood connectors, and allow modest infill near schools and transit. Melbourne’s 20-minute model and many North American main-street revivals show how to retrofit gradually.

Where conspiracy thinking comes from—and why it doesn’t fit here

Conflation with traffic filters: Some cities pilot “low-traffic neighborhoods” that discourage cut‑through driving on residential streets using planters or cameras. Online, these have been mislabeled as “movement bans.” In reality, people can still enter and exit, emergency vehicles and deliveries are accommodated, and the broader idea of a 15-minute neighborhood doesn’t require traffic filters at all.

Pandemic trauma and mistrust: After COVID restrictions, proposals to change streets can trigger fears of lost freedom. But 15-minute planning is the opposite: it increases choices and reduces dependence on any single mode or road.

Algorithmic amplification: Sensational claims spread faster than zoning maps. Transparency, co-design, clear goals, and time-limited pilots with public evaluation help rebuild trust.

Legitimate concerns—and why they’re often overstated (and solvable)

Displacement and rising rents: Convenience is valuable. If we add amenities without adding homes, prices can rise. The fix is to pair investments with more housing (including affordable and social housing), right-to-return policies, tenant protections, community land trusts, and targeted homeownership support so existing residents benefit.

Equity in siting: Improvements sometimes arrive first in affluent areas. Cities should prioritize underserved neighborhoods for sidewalks, crossings, shade, clinics, and transit—co-designed with residents.

Suburban feasibility: Not every place will hit “15 minutes” for everything. Start with a few anchors—grocery, primary care, a park, childcare—within 15–20 minutes for most homes, then fill gaps. Frequent transit links stitch multiple “15-minute” pockets into a connected city.

Weather and climate: Heat, rain, snow, and smoke are real constraints.

Design for them: continuous shade, cooling shelters, winter maintenance of sidewalks and bikeways, sheltered stops with real-time info and backup power, and redundant networks so people can choose the safest route.

Parking and car access: The goal isn’t to ban cars; it’s to right-size parking and keep access for those who need it. Unbundled parking, shared lots, and well-managed curbs preserve availability without inflating housing costs or paving over main streets.

Business logistics and trades: Set aside curb space for loading and service vehicles, offer delivery windows, and maintain through-access on commercial streets while calming speeds and adding crossings.

How cities get there—step by step

Update zoning to allow mixed-use and gentle infill near transit, schools, and main streets.

Build a connected network of protected bike lanes, neighborhood greenways, and continuous sidewalks, with frequent, safe crossings on arterials.

Run frequent transit on a core network and prioritize it with bus lanes, signal priority, shelters, and accurate real-time information.

Cool and drain the public realm with street trees, shade structures, permeable paving, bioswales, and floodable parks.

Manage the curb for access: loading zones, short-stay parking, accessible spaces, and pickup/drop-off areas tied to demand.

Invest first where need is greatest, and pair every capital project with anti-displacement tools and accessibility upgrades.

Use quick-build pilots to test changes, measure results, and adjust with the community before making them permanent.

Bottom line

A 15-minute neighborhood is about proximity, safety, and choice. It helps people reclaim time, lowers everyday costs, supports local businesses, and keeps essentials within reach when systems are stressed. It isn’t a plot to restrict movement or track anyone; it’s a practical blueprint for neighborhoods that work better for kids, seniors, people with disabilities, and everyone in between—on ordinary days and during disruptions alike.

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Design guide

Bicycle parking design guide

To use a bicycle for transportation, the user needs a convenient, safe place to park and store it. 

More broadly, allowing bicycling to flourish, which some cities have done and made it the primary way people get around, requires parking that gives users with a lot of different needs a consistently good experience.

The stakes are higher with e-bikes. They expand access and make car-light living more feasible. But they can be more cumbersome to park and their higher value makes them more attractive to thieves.

Design Concepts

Good bicycle parking means facilities that are high quality, sufficient in capacity, and ubiquitous.

1. High Quality

Parking needs to be convenient, secure, and reliable for short stays (less than a few hours) as well as long stays (more than a few hours, often at work or home), with appropriately higher security for long-term use.

A. Short-stay or “short term” bicycle parking 

For short stays, provide racks that are easy to use, durable, and available where people need them.

Frame-mountable: Use racks that support the bicycle frame at two points and allow a U-lock through the frame and one wheel. The standard is the ”inverted-U” rack or similar design; one rack typically serves two bikes. Avoid wave, coat-hanger, grid, and wheel-bender racks, which do not properly support frame locking.

Navigable: Space racks 3.5+ feet apart when side-by-side or 10+ feet between centerpoints when in a series. Set back 4+ feet from a wall or curb when racks are perpendicular; 3+ feet when parallel (5+ feet from the curb if adjacent to head-in car parking). Maintain 6+ feet of unobstructed sidewalk width after bikes are parked. 

Solid and well-maintained: Anchor racks securely so they cannot be easily removed or cut; maintain them in good repair. Keep rack areas and access routes clear of storage, debris, and snow year-round.

Easy access: Locate racks on the same site as the use they serve, within 50 feet and as close as practicable to primary entrances. Ensure good lighting and passive surveillance. Avoid conflicts with walkways, door swings, loading areas, and utilities, and maintain ADA-compliant, obstruction-free access.

Reserved and protected: Reserve rack space for bicycles only. Protect their space from vehicle conflicts and door swings by using physical barriers or painted striping. 

Shelter adds value in wet or cold climates, whether inside a structure or via a standalone canopy.

B. Long-stay or “long-term” bicycle parking

For extended parking—at work, home, or transit connections—users need the basics of short-stay facilities plus enhanced security and convenience.

Locked enclosure: Provide weather-protected, enclosed spaces with controlled access (e.g., a room within a building or a standalone intrusion-resistant shed, cage, or lockers).

Easy access: Locate near entrances where users can roll a bike the entire way, as many bikes, especially e-bikes, are too heavy to carry. Use signage or wayfinding for locations that are not obvious.

E-bike supportive: Allow e-bikes and provide electrical outlets to support e-bike charging.

Helpful additions include cameras or other monitoring, lockers, shower facilities, and shared tools.

Space-efficient systems such as vertical or two-tier racks can increase capacity, but they can be difficult to use and may not accommodate larger bikes. Use them only for a limited share of total spaces if at all.

2. Sufficient Capacity

There should be enough spaces so users can count on finding a spot. A rule of thumb is at least 4 spaces (satisfied by 2 “inverted Us”) per site and at least 1 space per every 2,500 sq ft, with at least 25% long-term. 

3. Ubiquitous

Riders should expect to find usable, consistent facilities everywhere—similar to how drivers expect to find workable parking. Facilities That should have it:

Destinations: Places of work, study, shopping, recreation, and other daily activities.

Transfer points: Bus stops, points of interest in parks and urban areas, and other locations where a user would “leave” their bicycle to proceed onwards.

Housing: Where the owner sleeps, which, if a multifamily dwelling or other location other than a traditional single family home, they might not have the space or rights to. 

References

Examples of “Inverted U” racks (City of Boulder): Standard (view A), Standard (view B), Racks on Rails 

Further reading: Perspectives on bicycle parking

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Micromobility is a revolution in our ability to move

Battery-electric motors bring not only the power to cut carbon and mitigate spikes in fuel costs but also the literal horsepower to create a range of new classes of ultra-efficient small vehicles that can return large sums of money to people, unlock travel for people who are younger, older, and have special needs, and make towns quieter, calmer, and more joyful to be in.

High-quality affordable e-bikes, other micromobility devices, and ultra-efficient electric cars and vans with safe and comfortable conditions to use them could be outs to have–if we plan for them.

The opportunity for changemakers is to use the superior power of battery-electric motors to give people ultra-efficient, rightsized motor vehicles of all different kinds.

Resources

Perspectives on micromobility

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Lyft said private cars would be out by 2025–here’s what to ask next time

In 2016, Lyft cofounder and president John Zimmer wrote that by 2025 private car ownership would all but end in major U.S. cities. Fast forward: We’re not just off track but moving the opposite way.

Although the prediction should have been treated as unbelievable at the time, it was widely reported as credible, often with little scrutiny or independent analysis. Many readers and editors seemed eager for it to be true, perhaps because it fit a familiar story in which software rapidly overturns old systems.

Technological salvation is alluring, but enthusiasm can obscure how transportation really works. Smartphones and online retail moved fast because they could. Mobility is different. It is defined by land use, the allocation of rights, privileges, and funding, and infrastructure that lasts decades while continuously locking in supporting investments along the way.

Cars dominate because policy made it so. Highways, subsidies, zoning, finance, and design standards formed a meticulously-crafted ecosystem for automobiles. Homes have been separated from daily destinations, with gaps filled by roads that are wide and fast.

Transit, cycling, and walking are less common than driving. But it isn’t because they are inherently weaker or less popular. It’s because our current system treats the car as necessary and central for almost every trip, and constrains and prioritizes from there.

Automated vehicles have advanced, but slowly and within limits. Companies like Waymo show that meaningful progress takes time and careful deployment. We are prone to sweeping claims when they sparkle with tech optimism.

Looking ahead, we should not expect transformation to come from a single breakthrough. Rather, it will come from changing policy, reimagining urban design, and putting people at the center of mobility. That means funding choices, street space allocation, and land use decisions aligned with what we say we value.

The next time you hear about a miracle transportation breakthrough, here are some questions to ask:

1. What independent evidence supports this claim, and how could it be tested or falsified?

2. Which policies, budgets, and standards would need to change for it to work, and who has the authority to change them?

3. How must street design and land use shift to make the promised outcomes practical and safe?

4. What is the impact on people with below-average incomes and folks who can’t readily drive, including youth and the growing number of aging seniors?

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To use energy resources wisely, first “avoid,” then “shift,” and next, “improve” (ASI)

The avoid–shift–improve (ASI) framework is a conceptual tool to help policymakers and managers deliver maximum services for the fewest energy requirements and environmental harm.

ASI prescribes managing demand first and multiplies the possibilities for electrification.

ASI directs the following:

  • Avoid unnecessary demand for a service in the first place.
  • Shift remaining demand to inherently lower-impact modes, energy carriers, places, or times.
  • Improve the efficiency and cleanliness of technologies and infrastructure that still serve that demand.

ASI was coined for transportation, but it generalizes for energy-using activities more widely.

Transportation: avoid trips and vehicle-kilometers; shift to walking, cycling, transit, rail, coastal shipping; improve vehicles, fuels, operations.

Buildings and cities: avoid loads via passive design/right-sizing; shift to district energy and electrified end-uses and to cleaner times with demand response; improve envelopes, controls, appliances.

Industry and materials: avoid through material efficiency, reuse, and product longevity; shift to recycled feedstocks and electrified or hydrogen-based processes; improve motors, drives, heat integration, high-temp heat pumps.

Power systems: avoid peaks and losses; shift the generation mix to low-carbon sources and demand to low-carbon hours; improve plant and grid efficiency (advanced inverters, reconductoring, storage).

Digital/ICT: avoid unnecessary compute/data movement; shift workloads to low-carbon regions/times; improve chips, cooling, and utilization.

Issues it addresses include climate mitigation, air quality and health, congestion and reliability, resource and land use, energy security, affordability, and resilience.

Who should care

National and local policymakers, planners, and regulators (NDCs, CAPs, land-use/transport codes, building energy codes).
Utilities, ISOs/RTOs, and energy planners (resource adequacy, demand response, electrification).

Corporate leaders across fleet, real estate, operations, procurement, and product design.
Investors and lenders (capex timing, stranded-asset risk, transition plans).

NGOs, researchers, and community groups shaping equitable, demand-side solutions.
Anyone setting climate, cost, or reliability targets who must deliver results this decade.

Where it comes from

Origins: Early 2000s within the sustainable transport community, especially German development cooperation. The approach was codified and popularized through GTZ’s (now GIZ) Sustainable Urban Transport Project (SUTP) and partners.

A widely cited early synthesis is Dalkmann and Brannigan’s GTZ SUTP Module “Transport and Climate Change” (2007). Regional development banks (notably ADB) and networks like SLOCAT then embedded ASI in guidance and programs.

Beyond transport: ASI migrated into buildings, industry, and power as demand-side mitigation rose in prominence (e.g., IPCC AR6).

From modes to moments: “Shift” now includes shifting in time (load flexibility, demand response) as much as shifting modes or carriers.
From three pillars to four: Many practitioners add “Enable” to emphasize institutions, finance, pricing, design standards, and data that make ASI stick.

Integration with circular economy and sufficiency: “Avoid” increasingly overlaps with product longevity, reuse/repair, and service sufficiency.

Equity and co-benefits: Modern ASI practice foregrounds distributional impacts, access, and health, not just carbon metrics.

More rigorous metrics: Better methods to quantify rebound effects, lifecycle emissions, and system interactions help prioritize high-impact measures.

Why it matters—and what goes wrong if you ignore it

Faster, cheaper decarbonization: Avoid and shift measures often deliver near-term, low-cost cuts and reduce the scale of supply-side buildout needed.

Lock-in avoidance: Managing demand and mode/carrier choices now prevents expensive, high-carbon infrastructure lock-in and stranded assets later.

System reliability and resilience: Avoiding peaks and shifting to flexible demand can stabilize grids and networks under stress.

Multiple co-benefits: Clean air, safety, space efficiency, and affordability strengthen public support and create immediate value.

If you ignore ASI, you risk over-relying on “improve” (efficiency/clean tech) alone, which is slower to saturate and vulnerable to rebound effects.

You are likely to overbuild supply and networks, raising costs and exposure to delays, siting constraints, and public opposition.

You miss no-regrets options and equity gains that can make transitions durable.

You may still miss climate targets even with rapid tech deployment, because unmanaged demand and mode choices swamp improvements.

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Primer on access

In transportation and land use planning, access or accessibility is the ability for people to reach goods, services, and activities.

Another way to define access is people’s ability to meet opportunities, where opportunities are groceries, employment, education, healthcare, and other things they need and value.

A key component of access is mobility, the ability to move through physical space. Mobility is a means to access, but generally not a useful end itself. 

The words “access” and “accessibility” have other uses that are related but different. For example, in the context of people with disabilities, accessibility can refer to equity in mobility. 

Accessibility is also an important part of equity on general. Access in equity can refer to ensuring communities who have suffered and continue to suffer from historical injustices and exclusions now have what they need for well-being, including physical safety, nutrition, health, education, finance, and economic opportunities.

Access is fundamental to climate-resilient development and GHG mitigation.

Measurement

One of the contributions of the concept of access is that it provides a way to quantify the extent to which people can get what they need, and by extension, community health, well-being, and other public outcomes policymakers wish to pursue.

One way to provide access is reachability, or the capacity to physically reach opportunities. Reachability is comprised of the following:

#1. PROXIMITY: Physical distance between origins and destinations. The mix and breath of locations of key opportunities relative to people who need them. Proximity can be measured as the average time to reach one or a basket of key locations by a targeted or wider number of the population.

#2. MOBILITY: Ease or comfort of physical movement along a network. Metrics for mobility are well-established and include average travel speed and auto travel time abstracted from the impact of decisions on other travel modes. Here is a short talk by Jonathan Levine on conventional mobility measures and why they work when properly applied, but also lead us in wrong direction if we try to maximize for them without an organizing goal of accessibility.

#3 FREEDOM FROM BARRIERS: Removal of  impediments to using transport options. This includes affordability, safety, comfort, and other qualities that arise in different settings and with people’s needs. 

Another solution to access is connectivity, which means things coming to you. Connectivity could be for physical goods like water and delivery packages. It could also be digital resources like computing and communications which can (but doesn’t necessarily) provide cost-effective substitutes for physical travel. Connectivity could also be for fire and other emergency services.

In sum, access gives a way to measure meaningful outcomes and internal dynamics in a way that generally is currently lacking in transportation, land use, and related planning.

Practical Use

The idea of access as an integrated transportation and land use strategy brings some advantages. However it is not yet widely used by local governments, a fact that is explained partly by decades of auto-centric decisions in multiple levels of government that has created inertia.

Yet, access as a concept is available for local governments to use—and indeed, offers a way to leadership and innovation that could be valuable.

Some things the concept of access could do for a local government:

  • Create a unified way to measure, manage, and optimize resources across multiple modes and investments towards human-centered outcomes
  • Bring together various existing policy issues (e.g. commute times to work, availability of low-stress bikeways, wheelchair access, etc) into a single rubric.
  • Establish a focal point to integrate planning activities that are currently diffused and disparate (e.g., parking policy and TDM proposals), creating the potential for a more powerful and deliberate way to coordinate investments 
  • Provide a new way to evaluate equity with a higher degree of discernment and control in managing initiatives aimed to increase well-being in targeted populations.

In conclusion, access provides a way to understand and integrate the management of transportation and lanes use across modes and in urban, suburban, and rural environments.

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The fast road to a prosperous, climate-compatible future is better transportation choices 

The set of choices available for transportation—or more generally, “access to destinations” (or more generally still, “access to opportunities”)—is one of the most important determinants of our quality of life. It powerfully shapes our cost of living, the extent to which large numbers of people are able to satisfy their basic needs and reasonable standards of living, and the power of our local community,

Transportation choice is also a crucial determinant of climate outcomes. Transportation is one of the top main sources of greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) as well as one of the sources that has the most concerning trends. Furthermore it’s central to adapting to being resilient in the face of climate change.

And the state of transportation choices enables and is enabled by other economic systems that govern well-being and climate action like housing, energy, food, air quality, and the ability to secure valuable goods and services.

Some of the keys to creating good transportation choices:

1. Design for people

Think about and organize for transportation so that the programs and people involved with its planning, engineering, and operations are foremost responsible to solve human problems.

  • Focus metrics on satisfying human needs, in particular, enabling people to reach destinations and opportunities in an economically-efficient way safely.
  • Ensure people of all ages, abilities, and financial situations are able to effectively access destinations–and course-correct where that is currently not happening.
  • Establish a great “fabric” for active transportation (walking, biking, and rolling in other ways) to provide good options for people to come together and communities to be cohesive, while elevating the need to make urban areas places that work well for people to be outside of cars.
  • Highly value the experience of people in neighborhoods and communities that the transportation systems flow through, minimizing preventable stress, danger, noise, and other problems vehicle traffic can impose.
2. Multiple mobility solutions

Create an ecosystem that works for a diversity of travel modes and travel alternatives.

  • Make communities conveniently and comfortably walkable, bikeable, and connected with excellent transit, both within themselves and to/from other places.
  • Create the flexibility to satisfy people with different needs, including the people whose needs change expectedly and unexpectedly throughout the year, month, work, day, and life events.
  • Coordinate systems so users can effectively link different modes on the same trips.
  • Support alternatives to mobility like remote meetings/work and efficient deliveries.
3. Systemwide efficiency

Allocate investments, rights, privelages, and space to transportation systems that achieve the greatest outcomes for the resources used.

  • Design communities to be space-efficient by reducing the distances between endpoints, especially housing and destinations, so people can live near where they need to go, comfortably travel by walking and biking, and access good social connections and desirable chance encounters.
  • Build systems to enable high-efficiency electric vehicles like neighborhood electric vehicles and e-scooters.
  • Dedicate systems and accountability to continuous improvement, with transparent reporting and planned responses to problem data (including people killed and seriously injureed in/around transportation systems) and the gap between key current states and targets.
  • Meaningfully invest in structured continuous improvement, innovation, and technology advancement.
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E-bikes give bicycles superpowers

Electric bicycles (e-bikes) multiply humans’ ability to pedal and balance. If you’ve used one, you have experienced bionic power. In case you’ve haven’t, read on for an explainer.

In short, a powerful small electric motor delivers three basic enhancements. Then, at the hands (and feet) of a person, those enhancements make the bicycle—already one of the most efficient machines in the universe— easier to manage and more powerful.

Three Enhancements 

The e-bike adds battery-electric power assistance to the drivetrain of a conventional bicycle. This delivers three kinds of enhancements to a bicycle:

First, it increases the rider’s power output. A typical human pedaling with legs typically delivers 20-200 of watts to a bicycle. The low end is working gently on flat ground and the high side is pushing uphill.

A battery-electric system stacks 250-1000 watts on top of that, depending on the model and power selection. Electric assistance means more power going to the bike for a given amount of effort from the human.

Second, it delivers explosive starting power. In addition to general power assistance, electric motors can immediately put a bicycle into motion in nearly any condition (e.g., under load or on a hill) with little or no effort to the pedaler.

This capability is inherent to electric motors and popularly called “instant torque” with electric cars. On a bicycle, it provides explosive launching power that can completely absorb the difficulty and fatigue involved with starts, which can be the most physically-demanding aspect of using a bicycle for transportation.

Third, it creates the option of throttle-only power. Some e-bikes, specifically, Class 2 e-bikes, carry a handlegrip throttle that delivers exclusive power assistance–in other words, power from the motor alone without pedaling.

This feature is similar to the throttle on a motorcycle, but with a low top speed. For most e-bikes with throttle-only power, assistance will cease when the bike reaches 20 MPH. 

Superhuman Abilities

So now that we have a performance-enhanced bicycle, how does the extra oomph translate to the work of actually riding?

The answer is that in nearly every aspect requiring physical effort, the bike now gives its rider superpowers. 

The new abilities include:

Distance: On an e-bike, a rider can cover 2-3 times the distance using the same amount of physical effort. Mileage may vary depending on the terrain, rider, and other factors. But in general, whatever distance or radius the operator of a conventional bike considers a comfortable travel range, it is now significantly larger.

Hills: A rider can choose to erase the challenge of most hills, from making the climb of a slope previously thought unmanageable into something comfortable to eliminating the effort needed for one or more hills on a route altogether. While the rider is subject to the constraints of the maximum output of a particular motor and the level of battery charge, in practice they are unlimited by grades designed for motor vehicles and 80% of the trips drivers take in cars.

Load: A rider can carry a surprisingly large amount of cargo weight on board (e.g., a standard longtail cargo bike might support 400 lbs), towed in a trailer (additional 100 pounds or so), or both with essentially zero extra physical exertion. Such cargo can be nearly anything, from a keg of beer to a Christmas tree to multiple children or even adult passengers. By the same principle, the rider can eliminate the force of headwind.

Ease: Just as power assistance can allow a rider to “do more” with the bicycle, it can also let them do less. Meaning, a bicycle operator can cover the same distance or terrain they did previously on a pedal-only bike, but with less strain. Or more to the point, without sweating. For some riders, this can make riding a bicycle for transportation finally feel compatible with dressing up for work or commuting in hot summer months.

Swiftness: One of the subtly extraordinary benefits of “Instant torque” is the ability to comfortably maneuver environments that require athletic starts, such as a series of uphill stoplights, with almost no physical exertion. In areas with heavy vehicle traffic and frequent intersections, this power can make the bicycle, already almost impervious to congestion, significantly faster and more enjoyable than traveling by car.

Speed: Electric assistance can bring the top speed of a bike to double or more what an average person can comfortably travel pedaling on their own (i.e., 20 vs 10 MPH). This can translate to the ability–and confidence–to traverse high-stress corridors like narrow bridges where the rider has to mix with cars, or unprotected bike lanes on fast-moving roads, in which the rider feels it necessary to get in and out as quickly as possible.

Balance: With electric bicycles that have throttle assistance, (in other words, Class 2 e-bikes), a rider has new capabilities to safely navigate hazardous conditions such as icy spots by being able to take their feet off the pedals and hold them out for balance while continuing to propel the bike forward.

Together, these abilities transform the conventional pedal-only bicycle into something categorically easier to manage and more powerful. 

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Research summary: IPCC’s sixth synthesis report says climate action requires transforming transportation

On March 20, 2023, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) provided a major update on the state of climate science and ways forward in its synthesis of the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).

Here’s what the world’s top authority on climate says about climate action and transportation:

#1. Climate change is an unfolding catastrophe.1 It multiplies the most problematic existing societal challenges and it exacerbates inequalities. Pretty much no one is left unscathed.

#2. We can head off continued warming and prepare for the unavoidable by making major coordinated commitments–which is manageable.2

#3. In fact, climate action is an opportunity to create abundance.3 The solutions called for are largely centered in creating more inclusive, affordable, healthy, and joyous communities that make people better off. Sustainable and equitable development worth doing even without the benefits of decarbonization. 

#4. Rising to the challenge means rapid, broad, and deep decarbonization of our energy supply plus five principal “demand-side” areas: Food, buildings, industry, electrification, and land transportation.4 Emissions in all areas need to rapidly peak, decline, and move to nearly zero by 2050-2070.

#5. Decarbonizing transportation requires several transformations:

  • Energy-Efficient Mobility Systems:5 Improving per-passenger energy productivity through development of systems to prioritize the widespread use of transit and other shared vehicles, vehicles right-sized for their purpose, and active transportation (e.g. bicycling and walking), meanwhile decreasing the distance between where people and things need to travel. Methods include safe streets for people outside of vehicles, more advanced public and community-based shared transportation, redesign of transportation for accessibility rather than car flow, inclusive housing, and inclusive use of public spaces. 
  • Resource-Efficient Electrification:6 Electrifying nearly every vehicle with wheels and a motor, while stewarding resources to create the most decarbonization for the materials employed. Methods include switching internal combustion engines with electric powertrains of existing vehicles in every class (e.g. cars, buses, and trucks), using the superior technology of battery-electric systems to advance new classes of highly-efficient small vehicles in urban areas (e.g. scooters and neighborhood electric vehicles), and creating new capabilities for active transportation (e.g. e-bikes). 
  • Compact Land Use: Dense infill mixed-use middle housing that lets people live near where they need to go). This strategy reduces fuel use, enables shifts to s’more energy-efficient modes, and enables day-to-day living is overall more resource-efficient and has a lighter climate impact.
  • Rigorous Demand Management:7 Creating economic incentives to reward climate-compatible travel and contain the impact of vehicles and behaviors that are in conflict with decarbonization. Methods include programs of incentives for users making everyday travel choices and capital purchases (e.g. expanded use of transportation demand management or “TDM” initiatives), structural reforms (e.g. reorganizing subsidies to move beyond car-centric planning to interoperable multimodal systems, as well as ensuring public agencies have sufficient capacity and resources to conduct such work), and new creativity in public engagement (e.g., entrepreneurship to enhance user experiences, communication, and education).

#6. Everyone has a job to do.8 Climate action around transportation requires comprehensive support for activities as varied as public policy design, advocacy, organizing, technology deployment, education, applied research, and more. Those who have influence over urban areas and financial investments taking place are especially important. Leadership is contagious.

#7. Everything we can still do matters.9 Each increment of warming avoided can make an enormous difference.


1  From the IPCC’s published Headline Statements (Headlines), Summary for Policymakers (SPM), and Longer Report (LR). As of March 22, the full volume has not yet been published. Additional detail is available in the three reports the synthesis is based on, especially the 2022 report on Mitigation.

2  Climate change is a threat to human well-being and planetary health. (Headlines C.1). Climate change has reduced food security and affected water security, hindering efforts to meet Sustainable Development Goals (SPM A.2.4). Continued emissions will further affect all major climate system components, and many changes will be irreversible on centennial to millennial time scales and become larger with increasing global warming. Without urgent, effective, and equitable mitigation and adaptation actions, climate change increasingly threatens ecosystems, biodiversity, and the livelihoods, health and wellbeing of current and future generations. (C.1.3)

3 There is a rapidly closing window of opportunity to secure a liveable and sustainable future for all. (Headlines C.1) All global modelled pathways that limit warming to 1.5°C (>50%) with no or limited overshoot, and those that limit warming to 2°C (>67%), involve rapid and deep and, in most cases, immediate greenhouse gas emissions reductions in all sectors this decade. (SPM B.6). Low-cost decarbonization opportunities abound. (SPM Figure SPM.7.a)

4  Negative decarbonization opportunities abound. (SPM Figure SPM.7.a). Deep, rapid and sustained mitigation and accelerated implementation of adaptation actions in this decade would reduce projected losses and damages for humans and ecosystems (very high confidence), and deliver many co-benefits, especially for air quality and health (C.2) Mitigation options often have synergies with other aspects of sustainable development, but some options can also have trade-offs. There are potential synergies between sustainable development and, for instance, energy efficiency and renewable energy. Similarly, depending on the context, biological CDR methods like reforestation, improved forest management, soil carbon sequestration, peatland restoration and coastal blue carbon management can enhance biodiversity and ecosystem functions, employment and local livelihoods. However, afforestation or production of biomass crops can have adverse socio-economic and environmental impacts, including on biodiversity, food and water security, local livelihoods and the rights of Indigenous Peoples, especially if implemented at large scales and where land tenure is insecure. Modeled pathways that assume using resources more efficiently or that shift global development towards sustainability include fewer challenges, such as less dependence on CDR and pressure on land and biodiversity (B.6.4)

5  Rapid and far-reaching transitions across all sectors and systems are necessary to achieve deep and sustained emissions reductions and secure a liveable and sustainable future for all. (Headlines C.3) All global modeled pathways that limit warming to 1.5°C (>50%) with no or limited overshoot, and those that limit warming to 2°C (>67%), involve rapid and deep and, in most cases, immediate greenhouse gas emissions reductions in all sectors this decade. Global net zero CO2 emissions are reached for these pathway categories, in the early 2050s and around the early 2070s, respectively. (Headlines B.6)

6 SPM Figure SPM.7.a

7 Urban systems are critical for achieving deep emissions reductions and advancing climate resilient development. Key adaptation and mitigation elements in cities include considering climate change impacts and risks (e.g. through climate services) in the design and planning of settlements and infrastructure; land use planning to achieve compact urban form, co-location of jobs and housing; supporting public transport and active mobility. (SPM C.3.4) Public transportation with bikes and rightsizing motor vehicles are among top 20 key modeled areas of mitigation, and the 5th (nearly tied with 4th) and 3rd-highest sources of mitigation that are cost-negative. (SPM Figure SPM.7.b) Urban systems are critical for achieving deep emissions reductions and advancing climate resilient development, particularly when this involves integrated planning that incorporates physical, natural and social infrastructure (high confidence). Deep emissions reductions and integrated adaptation actions are advanced by: integrated, inclusive land use planning and decision-making; compact urban form by co-locating jobs and housing; reducing or changing urban energy and material consumption; electrification in combination with low emissions sources; improved water and waste management infrastructure; and enhancing carbon uptake and storage in the urban environment (LR 4.5.3)

8 Electric vehicles powered by low-GHG emissions electricity have large potential to reduce land-based transport…The environmental footprint of battery production and growing concerns about critical minerals can be addressed by material and supply diversification strategies, energy and material efficiency improvements, and circular material flows. (SPM C.3.3)

9 Reducing industry GHG emissions entails coordinated action throughout value chains to promote all mitigation options, including demand management, energy and materials efficiency, circular material flows, as well as abatement technologies and transformational changes in production processes. (SPM C.3.3) The systemic change required to achieve rapid and deep emissions reductions and transformative adaptation to climate change is unprecedented in terms of scale, but not necessarily in terms of speed. Systems transitions include: deployment of low- or zero-emission technologies; reducing and changing demand through infrastructure design and access, socio-cultural and behavioral changes, and increased technological efficiency and adoption; social protection, climate services or other services; and protecting and restoring ecosystems. Feasible, effective, and low-cost options for mitigation and adaptation are already available. (SPM C.3.1) Electrification load brings significant new impacts that need to be reduced (SPM Figure SPM.7.b) Transport-related GHG emissions can be reduced by demand-side options and low-GHG emissions technologies. Changes in urban form, reallocation of street space for cycling and walking, digitalisation (e.g., teleworking) and programs that encourage changes in consumer behavior (e.g. transport, pricing) can reduce demand for transport services and support the shift to more energy efficient transport modes. (LR 4.5.3) Approaches that align goals and actions across sectors provide opportunities for multiple and large-scale benefits and avoided damages in the near-term. Such measures can also achieve greater benefits through cascading effects across sectors (medium confidence). For example, the feasibility of using land for both agriculture and centralized solar production can increase when such options are combined (high confidence). Similarly, integrated transport and energy infrastructure planning and operations can together reduce the environmental, social, and economic impacts of decarbonizing the transport and energy sectors (high confidence). (4.9) 

10 Urban systems are critical for achieving deep emissions reductions and advancing climate resilient development.  SPM (C.3.4) Finance, technology and international cooperation are critical enablers for accelerated climate action. (SPM C.7) 

11  There are gaps between projected emissions from implemented policies and those from NDCs and finance flows fall short of the levels needed to meet climate goals across all sectors and regions. (Headlines A.4). Every increment of global warming will intensify multiple and concurrent hazards. (Headlines B.1)

12  Climate change is a threat to human well-being and planetary health. There is a rapidly closing window of opportunity to secure a liveable and sustainable future for all. Climate resilient development integrates adaptation and mitigation to advance sustainable development for all, and is enabled by increased international cooperation including improved access to adequate financial resources, particularly for vulnerable regions, sectors and groups, and inclusive governance and coordinated policies. The choices and actions implemented in this decade will have impacts now and for thousands of years (SMP C.1). Delayed mitigation and adaptation action would lock-in high-emissions infrastructure, raise risks of stranded assets and cost-escalation, reduce feasibility, and increase losses and damages (high confidence). Near-term actions involve high up-front investments and potentially disruptive changes that can be lessened by a range of enabling policies. (C.2)

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Science

Transportation questions for climate advocates

To bring climate pollution under control, we need to reshape transportation, especially the way we get around on the ground.

Namely, we have to evolve from a mono-modal system that is extraordinarily energy-intensive because it requires one tool for almost every job–the private car, typically carrying one person–towards a system that is resource-efficient.

No question a big part of resource efficiency is more efficient motors with cleaner energy sources. That means electrifying more or less every motor vehicle.

But just as important, and what we needs more attention, is making the system architecture into one that is multimodal. An architecture that provides a diversity of travel choices giving people multiple good options. That ferrets out subsidies working against the most economic travel tool for the job in order to give the most climate-compatible modes a level playing field. That multiplies the possibilities through “geometric efficiency”–by designing and redesigning communities to give people more amenities near where they live.

This system we need is one that is designed to first avoid the need for physical travel and next let people frictionlessly shift to the most efficient and convenient mode for the trip. See figure for a summary of these strategies, together “avoid/shift,” in context.

Avoid-Shift-Improve Framework from SLOCAT (reference at bottom)

Four questions will shape how and when we get to the multimodal, resource-efficient system that we need–and whether transportation leaders will do their part in delivering a safe climate:

  1. How do we give bicycle/pedestrian and transit development the high status climate science and literature on equity say they deserve?
  2. How can transportation electrification and “avoid/shift” climate strategies work harmoniously towards a holistic transportation decarbonization agenda?
  3. What’s it going to take to get public agencies to take serious climate action, which requires–according to the most authoritative science–a revolution in mobility options on top of electrification?
  4. How can resource-limited local governments rapidly take it the next level for combined transportation decarbonization, equity, and resilience?
  5. How do we overcome carbon lock-in that makes the transportation difficult and spark new action?

There’s a lot packed in here. How we pay for things (and quietly subsidize the status quo). The role of emerging technology. Paths to diffusion of technology and solutions that already exist but at small scale. How to be more appropriately imaginative. And more.

Watch this space for materials and perspectives to explore these issues. A goal is to better understand the untapped value mobility offers the climate movement and what we can do about it. As well as the potentially untapped popular support for initiatives that give people time, money, and freedom back once we get the flywheel really moving.

READING

IPCC (April 2022). Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel.

Litman, Todd (2022). Evaluating Transportation Equity Guidance for Incorporating Distributional Impacts in Transport Planning. Victoria Transport Policy Institute.

SLOCAT: Partnership on Sustainable, Low Carbon Transport (2021). Transport and Climate Change Global Status Report — 2nd Edition.

Unruh, Greg (2002). Escaping Carbon Lock-in. Energy Policy.

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High-reward climate action: Safe streets

When people think of climate solutions, the mind often goes to things that need be installed: Solar and wind, battery storage, building retrofits, tree planting, and carbon removal. All are essential.

Yet a powerful, fast-payback lever hides in plain sight: designing streets for safety. Safer streets cut emissions directly and acts as a force multiplier for transportation decarbonization—one of the largest sources of climate pollution in many countries and an area where progress must accelerate.

Safe streets unlock “avoid and shift,” the fastest path to lower transportation emissions. The biggest gains come first from avoiding car trips through better land use, then from shifting remaining trips to walking, cycling, and transit.

Avoiding and shifting multiply what is possible with vehicle improvements by reducing the number and length of car trips before technology even enters the picture.

Safety is the skeleton key that lets avoid and shift scale in transportation—and it delivers unusually strong returns on investment. Compared with large capital projects, quick-build safety upgrades, protected bike networks, safer crossings, and bus priority can be delivered rapidly, save lives immediately, reduce vehicle miles traveled, and unlock further climate benefits. This is not marginal action; it is a force multiplier that climate advocates should prioritize.

Bicycling and walking

Research shows that most people’s relationship with a bicycle for transportation is that they are “interested” but concerned that the risks and stress are too much. They’re open to bicyling and walking if it feels safe and convenient, but not if it feels exposed or confusing.

Perceived safety governs behavior. That means physical protection from fast traffic, lower speeds where people move, frequent and visible crossings, lighting, and predictable intersections. Where cities reduce vehicle speeds and add protected bike lanes and continuous sidewalks, injuries fall and the share of trips by foot and bike rises. As more people use these facilities, drivers expect them and everyone gets safer. This is how shift happens at scale.

Public transit

Safe streets enable transit in turn. Every rider is a pedestrian for part of the trip. If it is hard to cross to a stop, if the stop lacks lighting or a curb, or if the last block home has no sidewalk, the experience is unacceptable. Safer crossings, traffic calming on transit corridors, and priority for buses at signals make the whole trip safe and trustworthy, which builds ridership and reduces crashes at the same time.

Transit also creates a feedback loop: Per passenger mile, the mode is safer than driving for everyone. Vehicles are larger and driven by trained professionals, and each bus or train replaces many cars, which reduces conflicts on the street. Good transit also gives people who should not drive a better option. Teens, older adults, people with certain medical conditions, and anyone who is tired have a safe alternative when service is frequent and reliable.

Transit upgrades are also high-ROI: modest signal changes, dedicated lanes, and safer stop access can deliver large travel-time and safety gains at a fraction of the cost of roadway widening.

Efficient vehicles, electric and otherwise

Safe streets also enable smaller, lighter vehicles—and help end the arms race toward bigger and heavier ones. Lower-speed networks, traffic calming, and separated facilities make compact cars, neighborhood electric vehicles (NEVs), and microcars practical for everyday travel. In many jurisdictions, NEVs can operate on lower-speed streets; when those streets are designed for safety, households can right-size to vehicles that consume far less energy and pose less risk to others.

This reverses the trend toward ever-larger vehicles driven by high-speed, high-volume roads and crash incompatibility. Designing for safe, lower speeds makes small, efficient vehicles viable, which further reduces emissions, space needs, and crash severity.

And it matters even for electric: When considering the overall vehicle fleet, a proportion that is meaingfully smaller and lighter corresponds to a meaingfully lower GHG footprint. It also means fewer materials and resources for electrification are needed per vehicle, which has an additional effect in aggregate. Finally, a more circumspect average vehicle profile is safer for those traveling outside vehicle cabins, like walkers and cyclists, which in large numbers induces more of the lightest travel of all.

Compact, human-centered neighborhoods

Compact, mixed-use neighborhoods reduce daily travel needs so people can reach most essentials with short trips. A connected street network, homes near jobs and schools, and local services within a short walk or ride lower vehicle miles traveled across the entire community.

That cuts emissions and makes streets safer, because shorter trips on calmer streets mean fewer high-speed impacts. Children can reach a park without crossing a five-lane road. An older neighbor can get to a cafe without a long drive. People using mobility aids can count on accessible paths. Safety becomes part of daily life rather than a personal burden.

The wider built environment

Crucially, the same choices that make streets safer also produce a more resource‑efficient, resilient built environment. Designing for compact, walkable places concentrates activity where efficient, electrified buildings and infrastructure perform best.

Shorter distances and attached or smaller homes reduce heating and cooling loads, making heat pumps and building electrification more cost‑effective.

Mixed-use, human‑scaled districts support district energy and shared infrastructure, lower peak electricity demand, and improve the economics of rooftop solar, storage, and demand flexibility.

Denser, walkable street grids cut materials use per capita, reduce stormwater runoff with less paved area per person, and shorten utility extensions—saving public money while boosting resilience to heat, outages, and extreme weather.

In other words, safe streets do double duty: they accelerate transportation decarbonization and strengthen the broader clean‑energy transition across buildings and grids.

In sum, improved vehicles and fuels are necessary but not sufficient. Heavier vehicles can increase the harm in crashes and crowd out the space needed for people outside cars. When streets feel safe, households can right-size travel: walk for a half mile, use a bike or e‑bike for a few miles, take a bus or train for longer trips, and use a car when it is the best tool for the job. This pattern cuts emissions faster and reduces risk right away. It also reduces the scale of infrastructure and energy systems needed for full decarbonization, improving the return on every dollar invested in electrification and clean power.

The benefits of this pathway are wide and personal. Health improves when more people can safely walk or bike for short trips. Cleaner air reduces asthma and heart disease. Most important, fewer families experience the grief and lifelong injury that follow serious crashes.

Freedom expands as more people can travel without a car. A 12‑year‑old can bike to a friend’s house. An 82‑year‑old can cross to a pharmacy. A parent can let a child walk to school without fear. Households save money when they can own fewer and smaller vehicles.

Towns and cities save money when safer street designs reduce crashes and when compact, multimodal infrastructure costs less to build and maintain than endless lanes that must be widened again and again. For climate advocates focused on impact per dollar and speed of deployment, safe streets deliver exceptional returns now and set the stage for every other climate solution to work better.

Unlock the multipliers of avoid and shift with safety. Lower speeds where people live and shop. Build connected, protected networks for walking and cycling. Fix crossings to make them frequent and visible. Invest in frequent, reliable transit and safe access to every stop. Plan for mixed uses and connected streets. These steps cut emissions, save lives, expand freedom, strengthen the clean‑energy transition in buildings and grids, and save money. Safe streets are high‑ROI climate action—and a catalyst for more.

References

Dill, J., and McNeil, N. (2013). Four Types of Cyclists? Examination of a Typology for Better Understanding of Bicycling Behavior. Transportation Research Record. https://doi.org/10.3141/2387-01

Teschke, K., et al. (2012). Route Infrastructure and the Risk of Injuries to Bicyclists. American Journal of Public Health. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2012.300762

Litman, T. (2021). A New Transit Safety Narrative. Victoria Transport Policy Institute. https://www.vtpi.org/safer.pdf

Ewing, R., and Cervero, R. (2010). Travel and the Built Environment. Journal of the American Planning Association. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944361003766766

FHWA (2021). Safe System Approach. Federal Highway Administration. https://highways.dot.gov/safety/zero-deaths/safe-system-approach

IPCC (2022). Climate Change 2022 Mitigation of Climate Change. Working Group III contribution. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg3/

PNAS (2025). Global health and climate benefits from walking and cycling. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2422334122

UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies (2025). Active travel study identifies pathways for walking and cycling friendly cities. UCLA ITS. https://www.its.ucla.edu/2025/06/09/active-travel-study-identifies-pathways-for-walking-cycling-friendly-cities/

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Efficiency improvements through electric vehicles: You don’t know the half of it

Electrifying transportation seems like magic because the core machine is so much better at turning energy into motion.

A typical electric drivetrain is about three times as efficient as a gasoline one, and it runs on a fuel that can steadily move toward being 100% renewable and carbon-free.

EVs bring other benefits too, like quiet streets and low maintenance, but the headline is simple. Its superpower is efficiency. We are talking about roughly 0.27 kWh per mile for a mid-size EV, equivalent to about 125 MPG.

That gap alone is enough to deeply cut emissions as the grid cleans up. Yet there is another side to efficiency that most people miss.

The way most of us travel day to day is overbuilt for the job. One person, often alone, moving at low average speeds through city streets in a 3,000 to 5,000+ lb vehicle.

Most of the energy goes to pushing a heavy machine and a lot of air, not to moving a human body. On a typical urban trip, about 95% of the energy moves the vehicle, and only about 5% moves the person.

That is not a moral judgment. It is physics.

When you repeatedly accelerate two tons in stop-and-go traffic, you spend energy on mass. When you cruise with a large frontal area, you spend energy on drag. Either way, the human is the smallest part of the payload.

The battery-electric revolution opens the door to right-sized electric mobility that flips this ratio. Electric motors scale beautifully. They are compact, efficient, and happy at many sizes.

That is why we now have an entire family of vehicles that can deliver a full trip at a fraction of the energy. Think e-scooters, e-bikes and cargo bikes, mopeds, compact city EVs, and neighborhood electric vehicles. The savings are not subtle.

A typical e-bike uses about 10 to 20 Wh per mile. At the U.S. average residential electricity price, that is well under one cent per mile. A small neighborhood EV might use 80 to 150 Wh per mile, still many times less than a full-size car.

Compare that with a gasoline sedan at around 1,100 Wh per mile worth of fuel energy, or even a mid-size EV at about 250 to 300 Wh per mile, and the order-of-magnitude difference becomes clear.

Right-sizing brings other gains. Smaller electric vehicles need smaller batteries, which lowers cost and materials demand. They can charge from an ordinary outlet overnight. Parking gets easier. Streets get calmer. Air gets cleaner where people live.

These are resilience benefits as well. A household with a mix of light electric options can keep moving even during fuel disruptions, and a car with a modest battery can backstop outages at home with vehicle-to-load gear. Cities that shift short trips to light electric modes need less space and less money to move more people.

None of this argues against the mainstream EV. For many trips, a conventional car is the right tool, and replacing a gasoline car with an electric one cuts energy use by a factor of three or four before you account for the grid’s ongoing shift to renewables. It is simply that our efficiency story is incomplete if it stops at the car-for-car swap. The lowest-cost, lowest-carbon, and most space-efficient miles will often be ridden, not driven.

The good news is we are already living in this future. Most urban trips are short enough for light electric mobility. In the United States, roughly half of all trips are under three miles. That is e-bike territory for many people and many days, with weather gear and cargo options making it practical for more. Cities that add safe networks for small vehicles see rapid uptake, because the product is compelling. It is fun, fast enough, cheap to run, and simple to maintain.

If you want a simple mental model, use this. Electrification gives you a big step up in efficiency at any vehicle size. Downsizing gives you another. Stack them and you get both deep decarbonization and better daily life. We can triple drivetrain efficiency by moving from internal combustion to electric. We can multiply total-system efficiency again by choosing the smallest electric that does the job. The result is cleaner air, lower costs, quieter streets, and far less energy burned to move the same person from A to B.

So by all means celebrate the conventional electric car. It is a workhorse and a crucial climate tool. Then look at the rest of the electric toolbox and pick the right size for the job. The fastest way to win on energy and money is to electrify, and then right-size.